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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wayners who wrote (57879)5/22/1999 11:22:00 AM
From: John Donahoe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Snippet from your link:

Over the coming years, Amazon will likely amass a sizeable portfolio of marketable securities which can be periodically sold to generate cash. In effect, Amazon is turning into not only the Web's dominant e-tailer, but also a powerful quasi-Internet venture firm.

Does this imply that they will have the ability to "burn cash" a lot longer then Glenn assumes?



To: Wayners who wrote (57879)5/22/1999 8:14:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
Price: $16 1/2
12 Month Price Objective: $19
Estimates (Jan) 1998A 1999E 2000E
EPS: $1.12 $1.20 $1.43
P/E: 14.7x 13.8x 11.5x
EPS Change (YoY): 7.1% 19.1%
Consensus EPS: $1.18 $1.40
(First Call: 13-May-1999)
Q1 EPS (Apr): $0.01 d$0.01
Cash Flow/Share: $1.91 $2.13 $2.38
Price/Cash Flow: 8.6x 7.7x 6.9x
Dividend Rate: Nil Nil Nil
Dividend Yield: Nil Nil Nil
Opinion & Financial Data
Investment Opinion: B-2-2-9
Mkt. Value / Shares Outstanding (mn): $1,333.2 / 83
Book Value/Share (Jul-1998): $7.72
Price/Book Ratio: 2.1x
ROE 1999E Average: 13.9%
LT Liability % of Capital: 0.5%
Est. 5 Year EPS Growth: 20.0%
Stock Data
52-Week Range: $41 3/4-$13 1/8
Symbol / Exchange: BGP / NYSE
Options: AMEX
Institutional Ownership-Spectrum: 57.6%
Brokers Covering (First Call): 11
ML Industry Weightings & Ratings**
Strategy; Weighting Rel. to Mkt.:
Income: Underweight (07-Mar-1995)
Growth: Overweight (07-Mar-1995)
Income & Growth: Overweight (07-Mar-1995)
Capital Appreciation: Overweight (05-Oct-1995)
Market Analysis; Technical Rating: Below Average (27-Apr-1999)
*Intermediate term opinion last changed on 21-Apr-1999.
**The views expressed are those of the macro department and do not
necessarily coincide with those of the Fundamental analyst.
For full investment opinion definitions, see footnotes.
Investment Highlights:
* On 1Q earnings conference call, Chairman
indicated a change toward being “open-minded”
about spinning-off Borders.com
* In the past, Borders had opposed spinning-off
the internet business
* BGP's on-line business receives a negative
valuation due to operating losses while public
internet companies receive huge valuations
* We call this phenomenon the “Valuation
Paradox”
* On the negative side, spin-off might result in
higher marketing costs and reduced EPS
Fundamental Highlights:
* Our current price objective is $19, reflecting a
13 times multiple of 2000 EPS compared with
the current multiple of 14 times 1999 EPS
Bulletin
United States
Retailing - Other Specialty
21 May 1999
Daniel D. Barry
First Vice President
Glenn M. Salzman
Industry Analyst
Borders Group Inc.
"Valuation Paradox" May Force Borders To
Spin-off Part Of Internet Subsidiary
ACCUMULATE*
Long Term
ACCUMULATE Reason for Report: Analysis Of Borders Valuation
Paradox
Merrill Lynch & Co.
Global Securities Research & Economics Group
Global Fundamental Equity Research Department
RC#10114166
Stock Performance
8
12
16
20
24
28
32
36
40
0.010
0.012
0.014
0.016
0.018
0.020
0.022
0.024
0.026
0.028
0.030
0.032
0.034
0.036
1996 1997 1998 1999
Borders Group Inc.
Rel to S&P Composite Index (500) (Right Scale)