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Biotech / Medical : STEM -- StemCells, Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Mike McFarland who wrote (252)	5/24/1999 11:09:00 PM
From: LLCF	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 805

< Yahoo board suggested this is like playing at a Casino, but I would disagree. I would say downside is 50% to $1/2, upside is quite a bit higher than 50%--probably a nice spike into the $3's with success, then some clear sailing for the future. But what the odds of sucess are, I have no idea--it feels like a coin flip.> Well, lets see... coin flip is 50-50. So .5x($1/2)+.5x($3)= $1.75 fair value. You're right not like a casino... unless you're a good card counter! Stock is cheap based on your analysis. DAK