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Pastimes : Kosovo -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (9768)	5/25/1999 10:28:00 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 17770

Ron, I think the bin Laden connection was a fake scenario framed up by the FBI to provide President Clinton with a swift, diplomatically correct backlash strategy... Regarding the motive for the bombings, I recommend you to read the Congo Briefings on the WWIII thread again: it's all about the African Kriegspiel! Did you know, for instance, that Congo-Brazzaville is expected to become the largest oil producing country in Africa in about 15 years from now? Today, Congo-Brazzaville's offshore oilfields already account for over 50% of French oil major Elf-Acquitaine (through its subsidiary Elf-Congo). So, you can apply to Africa the same domino approach the US used to apply to Central America in the 1980s: if Ruanda/Burundi goes, then Congo-Kinshasa is next (to fall in the US's bag). Next, Congo-Brazzaville... and next, Gabon, Cameroon, etc... and the whole of France's sphere of influence in Central Africa falls apart... Hey! We're talkin' zillions of lost dollars here! Not to speak of a resulting weakened leverage in the UN: African countries currently under France's patronage usually get packed behind France in any critical UN suffrage. The East Africa bombings just froze the inflow of US capital in Central Africa, that is in a region whose political-risk grade was already (very) high: it was still a long shot for the US African lobby to convince American private interests to raise an eyebrow at such an impoverished region even after Clinton's hoo-ha tour in Central Africa. But now, potential investors are dead chilled: why would they invest in French-speaking Africa when US embassies get blown up in English-speaking Africa? If Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda (remember the US tourists slaughtered in a gorilla park) are no longer the US-friendly sanctuaries they used to be, then how much more perilous is it gonna be in West Africa? And that's how a whole region gets discarded... Gustave.