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Strategies & Market Trends : Jim's Nasdaq100 Special as a basket. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (704)5/25/1999 1:39:00 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2103
 
XLP seems to act like a drug index... Thought it was a consumer and
a personal care index (such as PG, G, CL, DL, et al)

The most correlated industry sector indexes are healthcare-related

HCX 906 out of 1000
DRG 884
RXP 864
CMR 846
NYSE 826

As are the correlated stocks

PFE 784
ABT 755
GE 695
MRK 689
JNJ 687
SGP 658
MER
AHP
and so on...

The percent of NDX stocks above moving averages so far:

10-day - 21%
21-day - 34%
50-day - 54%
200-day - 74%

The late February market low had 35% percent of stocks above 50-day
moving average.



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (704)5/25/1999 6:38:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Respond to of 2103
 
OOPs , every thing went into free fall, glad I came off margin
early..looks like a lot of margin selling killed the bounce.
-----------------
Could even get worse..but I'm still look for a bounce..
Message 9734742
---------------------
however playing a bounce is real risky,
not until I see the MID400 (MDY) drop below the S*P 500,
(SPY) on a 3 month chart will I consider the market having
made it's adjustment.
quote.yahoo.com
When the MDY crossed the S&P going up while the S&P was
falling
back about April 14th is when I told anyone who
would listen the market was in trouble.
It out running the S&P is one thing, but it should Never
go up if the S&P is going down
its not normal
( called a crossed sword as they are going opposite directions)
and indicates a sick market, or one that's about to get sick.
The liquidity goes all to hell, and it like a person with
very poor blood circulation.
The market will recover when you see the S&P500 going up on a shorter
term chart as the MDY is going down.
Till then playing for bounces is damm hard, and I think I'm
about to quit it, and just short the pops.
Jim