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Technology Stocks : Safeguard Scientifics SFE -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Teflon who wrote (2979)5/27/1999 10:40:00 PM
From: robert miller  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4467
 
Teflon,

Interesting report from Keith Benjamin on internet stocks. Not specific for SFE.

bob

BANCBOSTON ROBERTSON STEPHENS
Keith E. Benjamin, CFA - 415-693-3285
mailto:Keith@rsco.com
Unsubscribe to: mailto:rsch_webmaster@rsco.com
May 27, 1999

The Web Report - Volume 2, Issue #21

CAPITULATION - We have decided to issue the weekly e-mail a day early
this week, based on our feeling that we are at an important inflection
point in the Internet stock group. Most stocks have already fallen as
much as we've seen in previous quarterly patterns. In our view, many
investors appear to have given up after recent declines, demonstrating
capitulation that typically defines the bottom. While it is almost
impossible to pinpoint the exact day of defeat, we believe we are close
enough to start to be more aggressive accumulating a broader range of
stocks than we have been focused on over the last month or so. Because
so many people appear to be scrambling to accurately forecast the
bottom, we believe the actual day may happen sooner than the majority
expects.

WHICH STOCKS NOW?: Despite current apparent lack of discrimination, we
remain convinced that stock prices will tend to mirror underlying
fundamentals over time, with the winners eventually growing into
significantly higher valuations. Because we expect June quarter results
will exceed expectations at least as much as we saw in the March
quarter, we expect the next reporting season will be a positive catalyst
for the group. We are hoping for greater differentiation on the rebound
between the big and small franchises. With so many recent IPOs, we
believe it takes time for investors to appreciate new stocks.

Today, we would recommend starting to build a basket of stocks, still
over-weighting the leaders, but now including some of the emerging
companies. We tend to rank these stocks by looking for near-term
catalysts and valuations that appear reasonable to us relative to
individual company market opportunities. As such, we would start with
the seasoned stocks first and the larger, unseasoned stocks.