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Biotech / Medical : T/FIF Portfolio -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LLCF who wrote (909)5/27/1999 11:48:00 PM
From: scaram(o)uche  Respond to of 1073
 
Bless you!

Oh, and I forgot..... you are not allowed to go on vacation in the future. We made an exception this time.

I had the same thought.... lots of green for me at the end of a tough day for many.



To: LLCF who wrote (909)5/28/1999 12:41:00 AM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1073
 
*chit chat and charts*--mainly *OT*
Please forgive the fact that this post
has no science, no links, no insight,
but this is what a quiet market does to ya,
heheh. It's a madhouse!

Yes, Dave, I noticed the apparent relative
strength in biotech today as well--no damage
to my stocks today despite a weak market, a few
of my micros up 1/32, a few zeros, and sibi the
only real loser in my batch, and not really off
too much there either. Of course it helps to be
in things where everybody who might have sold,
has already been shook out.

The question is, after this correction runs
it's course, will there be new leadership in
the small caps (much less my microcap biotechs)
hard to say. I do not like this upward rate
bias, that gives the fund guys an excuse to
sell biotech and buy pharma I think.

I say on my profile that I'm even for the
year, I guess that is not quite true, up
10k or so YTD, I can live with that cushion if
things go sour, then load up if things seem
to bottom out again.

But I think the small biotechs have already made
convincing bottoms--here and there good double bottoms,
and now, one by one individual issues are just going
to have to scratch and claw there way into the spot
light. Heck, my NTII has more than doubled off it's
lows, my CNSI has been trending up this past month,
my CTII and MAGN have bottomed and I'm even in these
issues, so I cant complain and I certainly have not
overpaid for anything. Oh I have huge risk in my stocks,
but in a way, they are such extreme choices that I
hope this will make them completely uncorrellated
with the market in general. I've even enjoyed a good
trade in ONXX this spring, no, I cannot complain.

There are two stocks on my primary watch list that
do not look good right now--MOGN seems to have reversed,
and Curagen looks sickly. I used to not pay any attention
to the chart and the trend, but I kinda do now. I'd have
some of my money which is now raking in passbook savings
interest rates into Sepracor by now if I didn't have some
respect for trends and momentum, yikes, what a bloodbath
that was.

Also on my various lists, NBIX and REGN look like they're
trending up quite nicely, you know I sold REGN to load up
on more of my micro madness, I will regret that trade if
regn keeps moving up slowly. also CEPH and CORR would be
the fund managers biotech picks that look good.
As far as tradable stocks which don't really seem to
have a trend, Sugen
and Celgene stand out.