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Strategies & Market Trends : The 56 Point TA; Charts With an Attitude -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bdog who wrote (29989)5/31/1999 7:15:00 PM
From: j g cordes  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 79237
 
Hi bdog.. I used to be a manic scanner to where I was pushing spagetti around on my plate when I went out for Italian food. One of my first conclusions in attempting to find the "perfect scan" was recognizing that one only retrieves what one's scanning for... sorry if this sounds simple but its not.

A stochastic, RSI or moa scan will return those stocks which begin to cross or actually cross the selection thresholds we've set in the equation. Often we find a set of scan determinants that work particularly well, thus we're encouraged to look further pouring over chart after chart. However, when backtesting or placing money on many we find its not a perfect system, even though we're satisfied we've stacked the odds in our favor (hopefully!).

So next, I took the position of refining the trading side of scan's, matching the historical probability of how many days or how large a move a particular set of technical conditions usually paid off. In other words a slow stochastic upturn with improving on balance volume would usually be good for a 4% move in the stock.. one would take the position and wait for a fast stochastic or Williams downturn to exit. This let me formalize to a minor degree how much and how long an after effect a particular scan condition, once met, might yield.

Then, further on in time, it occured to me to limit the universe of scans to stocks that have been proven winners in the past and only look for the most consistent patterns that have been (not might be) part of stock runs. I took those technical condition, shortened them up a little to hair trigger them and looked for future stock runs.

Just some thoughts..

Jim