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Technology Stocks : Broadband Wireless Access [WCII, NXLK, WCOM, satellite..] -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SteveG who wrote (289)6/2/1999 3:47:00 AM
From: SteveG  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1860
 
a relevant snippet from the ML's WCOM-SKYT report:

What's Next for WorldCom?
In our opinion, this is just the beginning of WorldCom's
move into wireless. It is the only significant hole in
WorldCom's portfolio of services, and is becoming
increasingly more important to both business and
residential customers. Most importantly, its biggest
competitors, AT&T, Sprint and the RBOCs, already offer
mobile wireless services.
We continue to believe WorldCom's most likely partners
or acquisition targets are Nextel (NXTL, D-1-1-9, 36 7/8),
Sprint PCS (PCS, D-1-1-9, $45), or all of Sprint (FON, C-3-
2-7, $112 3/4) if WorldCom is willing to brave anti-trust
scrutiny. What it needs is a nationwide mobile wireless
footprint and Nextel and Sprint PCS are really the only
options. WorldCom could attempt to put one together
through GSM or MMDS, which we believe is a much less
attractive alternative, as either would require years of
construction and a nationwide footprint would be difficult
to achieve. A partnership with Airtouch is another option,
but would provide coverage of only half of the US.
Lastly, we expect that WorldCom will look to fixed
broadband wireless as a mean to extend the geographic
footprint of its CLEC business – with Nextlink (NXLK, D-1-
1-9, $76 1/2), Teligent (TGNT, D-2-1-9, $49 1/8), and
Winstar (WCII, not rated, $49 7/16) as the most likely
partners or acquisition targets.
We reiterate our intermediate-term accumulate, long-term
buy rating on WCOM shares. The overhang on the shares
due to concern of a dilutive wireless acquisition, in our
opinion, is unwarranted as we believe such a transaction
can be done with less than 10% dilution, is strategically in
WorldCom's best interest and should result in enhanced
long-term EPS growth. We are raising our 12-18 month
price objective to $105. This is derived using the same
methodology we used for our previous price objective of
$98 -- a targeted P/E of 37x 2000 EPS, or 1.2x 5-year
growth of 31%. We believe this is a conservative P/E
target given that S&P500 currently trades at 28x for
growth of 6-10%.