Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Technology Stocks : CYRIX / NSM -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: dumbmoney who wrote (32622)	6/2/1999 8:15:00 AM
From: Labrador	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 33344

>>Let's assume that there's a 10% chance that Foveon will become a $1 billion company (market value) in a couple years - pretty generous assumption. That gives an 'expected' return of $100 million, or $45 million for NSM's stake. $45 million is a mere 1.5% of NSM's current market value - insignificant.<< Confused by your analysis. Let's say that there is a 50% chance that the Foveon could turn the photography industry on its ear within 5 years. Why is the market capitalization only $1 billion. Why not $100 billion? [How did you get $1 billion -- why would the company remain a small cap stock? Why not a Kodak at a minimum?] How did you get a 10% chance? Is this just a number you picked out of the sky?