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To: WhySoSoon who wrote (6793)6/2/1999 10:19:00 PM
From: Tae Spam Kim  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13953
 
Financial services industry continues to undergo the radical paradigm shift onto the web. With Merrill finally capitulating, it validates online trading as the future of investing. Look for Merrill, Schwab, and E*Trade to dominate and fill out complete portal offerings in the coming year.

There's an incredible change in scope in the way people choose and execute online finances," says Jim Marks, managing director with Deutsche Bank Alex. Brown. "It's going to get a lot bigger, and the online brokers are going to go after all the financial services they can." Many online brokers, including ETrade, have already been successful in recruiting scores of online investors; they are now looking for more services to wave in front of their customers' eyeballs. Likewise, Merrill Lynch may finally have acknowledged that the Internet is becoming a conduit through which many financial services can be conducted. - RedHerring




To: WhySoSoon who wrote (6793)6/2/1999 10:20:00 PM
From: Manly  Respond to of 13953
 
More News on Merrill Launch!

Wall Street Is Rocked
By Merrill's Online Plans

Big Task Awaits Securities Firm
As It Pushes Into Online World

By REBECCA BUCKMAN
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

It's official: Merrill Lynch & Co. has unveiled a radical new
Internet-brokerage strategy, one of the boldest moves in its 85-year
history.

The nation's largest full-service securities firm, confirming a report in The
Wall Street Journal, will offer online trading for as little as $29.95 a trade.
Currently, Merrill customers pay commissions of as much as several
hundred dollars a transaction.

"It really got to the point where we all felt the viability of that segment of
the market was indisputable," said David Komansky, Merrill's chairman.

Now Merrill has to make the plan work. To
do this, the firm must essentially build a
large-scale, discount-trading operation. That
won't be easy: Within months, Merrill has to
streamline and add key features to its
computer systems, hire hundreds of technical
staff and expand its existing customer-service
centers. And computer glitches have
repeatedly bedeviled some of Merrill's most
sophisticated online-trading rivals.

Moreover, by announcing the ambitious plan
six months before the launch date -- Dec. 1
for the discount Internet account, which
features Web and telephone trading for the
cut-rate fees -- Merrill has tipped its hand and
given competitors the chance to catch up.
Other traditional brokers could race to match
Merrill's offering, analysts say, and companies
that already have a big presence on the Web could add services to snare
new investors before Merrill can appeal to them.

For now, however, the pressing question is: Can Merrill meet its target
date?

"Their track record of hitting deadlines isn't exactly the best when it comes
to offering online trades," says Bill Burnham, who follows electronic
commerce for Credit Suisse First Boston Corp. In the past two years,
Merrill delayed the launch of its very limited Web-trading system at least
three times.

Still, Merrill had little choice but to act now. That's because each day it
waited would be another in which assets could migrate to online-trading
rivals. Julio Gomez, who runs the Gomez Advisors Internet consulting firm
in Concord, Mass., said: "This is their way of telling their customers to
hang in there."

So Merrill's technology department, under the direction of Senior Vice
President Howard Sorgen, will now scramble to put the new systems in
place. Currently, only about 1% of Merrill's more than five million
customers are eligible to trade online. But the firm has to be ready for a big
increase by July 12, when thousands of customers are expected to switch
to a new fee-based account that offers unlimited online and offline trading.
That account is separate from the discounted, $29.95 option.

All traditional Wall Street firms have recently struggled to overhaul their
older computer systems. The fact is, they aren't designed to pull data from
different parts of the firm and present them to customers over a Web site,
notes Simon Moss, the head of the International Business Machines Corp.
unit that provides consulting and other services to financial firms.

But in the past year or two, Merrill has worked to streamline its systems to
link different departments. These units previously worked on totally
separate systems, says Merrill's Mr. Sorgen. That has allowed the firm to
offer limited trading, which is integrated with a Web site stocked with
features such as stock quotes and research reports. More than 450,000
Merrill customers now access the site (www.merrilllynch.com).

But Merrill has to develop systems to let customers open accounts online
without a broker and get account updates immediately after they trade --
something not offered now. The firm also expects to hire about 600 to 800
technical staff in the next 18 months. Still, Merrill may wind up hiring an
outside firm to actually "host," or run the front end, of its discount-trading
Web site, Mr. Sorgen adds.

Merrill already has two big "data centers" housing key computer databases
in Manhattan and Staten Island, N.Y., but may expand its service centers
in Denver and Somerset, N.J., to house new personnel for its discount
service, Mr. Sorgen says. For more than a year, Merrill has been offering
full-price trading services over the phone with brokers housed at the
Somerset facility, which is now servicing about 100,000 customers, Merrill
officials say. The firm says it will be ready by Dec. 1. "There's no going
back," Mr. Sorgen says.

The $825 million rollout of the firm's new broker "workstation" in the past
three years also encountered problems. Merrill had to switch, halfway
through, to an Internet-based model from an intranet one. Now, however,
all the firm's 14,800 brokers have access to the new system, officials say.

"We have some issues," concedes Maddy Weinstein, a senior vice
president in Merrill's individual-investor group. "There's some more work
to be done" on the new Internet-trading platform.

In October, Merrill also went outside the company to hire John A.
McKinley, formerly with General Electric Co.'s GE Capital Corp., as its
chief technology officer. Merrill's internal preparations in the last year, plus
its acquisition of the online-brokerage-technology arm of D.E. Shaw &
Co. in February, mean "we certainly could be in the marketplace very
soon with the offering," Ms. Weinstein said.

For Merrill, the issue now is less what it is doing than how well it does it.
"Execution is everything," says Richard Strauss, an analyst with Goldman
Sachs Group Inc. "It's going to be a long time before anyone can just snap
their fingers and say, 'Boom, the execution is there.' There's a learning
curve here."




To: WhySoSoon who wrote (6793)6/2/1999 11:06:00 PM
From: Spytrdr  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13953
 
June 1, 1999 9:11 AM EDT


Updated: 01-Jun-99

Book Review: The Innovator's Dilemma
The Innovator's Dilemma
When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail

by Clayton M. Christensen
Harvard Business School Press

All technology investors should read this book. Even though it has been out since 1997, it still reigns as one of the single most useful books for a technology investor.

The basic premise is very simple: existing, dominant technology is often toppled by "disruptive technologies." Established firms, with strong marketing and technology, gets sideswiped by a previously unknown startup and loses its dominant position. Defining and understanding the disruptive technology phenomenon is the thesis of the book, followed by extensive examples. The author is a Harvard Business School Professor who has extensively studied the disk drive market, which he uses as the prime example of disruptive technologies.

In many ways, the book reads like an academic thesis, and at times, you may find this makes it more difficult than it could otherwise be. However, the resultant thoroughness of the "proof" or examples, is simply overwhelming.

What is a disruptive technology? In short, a disruptive technology has the following traits:

Is a less featured, sometimes cheaper, version of an existing technology
Redefines the parameters of performance measurement in an industry
Does not have a defined market at the time of introduction
If adopted by existing players immediately, would require an undermining of their existing product line
Often appears contrary to needs requested by customers, at introduction
Creates a new market, which eventually grows to destroy the existing technology market
Mr. Christensen's main body of evidence for his "thesis" is his study of the disk drive industry. This incredibly fascinating, detailed history is remarkable, because the disruptive technology event occurs over and over again within a single industry, with the same results. While it is easy to look back and make the logical deduction that disk drives should always get smaller and have more capacity over time, it is also easy to forget that the dominant company for each form factor changed over time. If you worked in the computer industry during the 1980s, the chapter on the disk drive industry history is worth the entire price of the book.

The most interesting single conclusion, to us, in the book is how established firms suffer, if they ignore technology that doesn't address their customer's current needs. This is contrary to the old adage: listen to your customers. On the face of this, it seems silly to be concerned with any new technology which isn't requested by your customers, doesn't solve any of their current problems, and doesn't look like it will make money. But what a disruptive technology does is create a whole new market, which eventually attracts your existing customers. By the time the established firm realizes what is going on, they have become also-rans.

The PC, of course, fits this model very well. The PC was extremely poor in performance compared to minicomputers. Existing minicomputer customers did not demand PC's. They wanted better minicomputers. The PC attracted small business owners who couldn't buy minicomputers. At Digital Equipment Corporation, the dominant minicomputer maker when the PC was introduced, Ken Olsen told his VPs he would fire them if they ever made a computer as "poorly made" as the PC. But the PC market simply grew until it completely overtook the minicomputer market.

The internet also is a disruptive technology. Is it any wonder that the existing retail behemoths have not fully addressed the internet? Their existing customers aren't demanding it, it isn't as full-serviced as the store experience, and there didn't appear to be a market when it first appeared. All characteristics of a disruptive technology.

Before you start buying more Amazon.com (AMZN) stock as a result of the previous paragraph however, you should note that Mr. Christensen provides a plan of attack for established companies to address disruptive technologies. It isn't a slam dunk certainty that disruptive technology startups also topple the giants. In fact, much of the book is aimed at corporate executives, to help them cope with disruptive technologies in their own industries.

At Briefing.com, we find this book particularly interesting, because the internet truly fits the model of a disruptive technology in the financial world. Online trading, and online information, such as Briefing.com, started with no market at all, provided returns much too small to concern the large players, and was much less "featured" than a full service brokerage account. In addition, the biggest clients of most Wall Street firms weren't even aware of the internet, much less asking for internet services. Many of the first online trading customers were customers that the existing Wall Street firms were not concerned with. But the online financial world has simply grown to huge proportions. The disruptive technology model fits the online trading world quite well.

Why should investors read this book? Two reasons: First, if you own an established technology stock at the time a disruptive technology arrives, you need to recognize the threat. You may well see the problem before management does. At the very least, you need to start wondering how your company will address the disruptive technology event. Secondly, if you are able to identify a disruptive technology, before it reaches critical mass, you are likely to be able to buy into a strong growth stock long before the financials have driven the stock price up.

The disruptive technology concept is extremely useful when analyzing technology trends. When a new technology trend occurs, you need to identify whether it is a sustaining technology which benefits the existing firms, or a disruptive technology, which will benefit a startup. Every technology investor should be familiar with the concepts described in "The Innovator's Dilemma."

Comments can be emailed to the author, Robert V. Green, at rvgreen@briefing.com.