OPINIONS ANYONE.......America Online Brings Music to Shareholder's Ears
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Eliot Walsh (6/3/99)
On Tuesday, America Online (NYSE: AOL - Quotes, News, Boards) doled out $400 million worth of its shares to acquire a pair of closely-held Internet music companies--Spinner Networks Inc. and Nullsoft Inc. The logic behind the move: AOL gains access to technology for playing and recording music over the Internet.
Neither acquisition in and of itself is expected to add to AOL's $5.5 billion CY 1999 estimated revenue stream. But the deals, worth $400 million in stock, are even more significant in that they portend the aggressive expansion of AOL's broadband initiatives.
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The deal also intrigues in light of the background of AOL's President, Bob Pittman. Prior to joining AOL, Pittman was head of MTV Networks. Presumably, he has spent a lot of time divining the interests of music fans.
Spinner.com, an Internet radio service with 1.5 million monthly users, offers consumers more than 175,000 songs from 350 labels, which they can listen to online, in real-time. Nullsoft is an MP3 technology developer whose products include the Winamp MP3 player and the SHOUTcast MP3 streaming audio program. AOL intends to capitalize on the companies' products as it moves towards high-speed Internet and Internet television.
The acquisitions represent an important step in the development of AOL's broadband strategy because they '[lay] the framework for a broader music platform,' according to BT Alex. Brown analyst Shaun Andrikopoulos. This platform, he contends, includes 'a multitude of devices such as smart phones, set-top (cable and satellite), mobile computers, PDA's, on-line household appliances and, of course, the PCs.'
In anticipation of an industry-wide shift toward high-speed Internet connections, the major online services and portals are working furiously to add attractive broadband content to their arsenals. And among the choicest of 'weapons' is music.
Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO - Quotes, News, Boards), for example, recently said it plans to buy streaming media programmer Broadcast.com (NASDAQ: BCST - Quotes, News, Boards), and Lycos Inc. (NASDAQ: LCOS - Quotes, News, Boards) is reportedly developing its own online music services.
The popularity of the MP3 format (which offers consumers easily downloadable CD-quality music) is skyrocketing, as is Internet radio. In fact, CNET news recently reported that the number of U.S. Net users listening to online radio more than doubled over a six month period.
While neither technology requires particular computer knowledge to access, consumers' unfamiliarity with them, as well as the relative scarcity of high-speed Internet connections has kept the brakes on their popularity.
AOL intends to change all that, of course.
'We believe AOL is uniquely positioned to leverage Spinner.com's distribution relationships. . .and Nullsoft's MP3 technology across its multi-brand platform (AOL, AOL.com, CompuServe, Netcenter, and ICQ),' says Andrikopoulos in a report released today. 'With over 17 million members we feel the AOL audience will bring the mass market reach needed for on-line music to gain significant traction.'
Andrikopoulos sees a number of additional advantages in the deals. Nullsoft's technology, for example, 'should enable significantly enhanced rich media interactive advertisements, longer term,' he says.
Then there's the e-tail factor. 'In our opinion AOL has established the leading e-commerce platform on the Internet with over $1.8 billion of goods sold over the Company's shopping service during FQ3 (March),' he explains. 'We believe that a broadened on-line music offering will enable the company to further monetize its traffic through potential adver-commerce bounties and Shop@AOL merchant relationships.'
Bottom Line:
With each passing deal, AOL is moving closer to solidifying its stranglehold on the web community. |