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Pastimes : Kosovo -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Yaacov who wrote (11194)6/5/1999 6:15:00 PM
From: Jim McMannis  Respond to of 17770
 
American Taxpayer=Loser



To: Yaacov who wrote (11194)6/5/1999 8:26:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 17770
 
Russia's Balkans envoy Viktor Chernomyrdin
said on Saturday that any Russian troops involved in the
international force for Kosovo could never be under Nato
command.

"This is out of the question ...
according to our legislation,
according to our laws,
according to our ethics, we
will never be under Nato, " Mr
Chernomyrdin said in an
interview broadcast on
Russian TV.

Later in the broadcast, Mr
Chernomyrdin said that
terms for Russian troop
participation would be worked
out separately in the next few
days.

Mr Chernomyrdin helped broker the peace plan accepted
by Belgrade last Thursday, but there are mixed feelings
in Moscow about the deal - detractors have been
particularly critical of plans for a Nato-led peacekeeping
force.

According to Nato, Russian observers were invited to
attend the talks on the Macedonian border, but none
showed up. Russia's Defence Ministry said it was
unaware a Moscow delegation was expected.
news.bbc.co.uk



To: Yaacov who wrote (11194)6/5/1999 8:38:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 17770
 
Later in the broadcast, Mr
Chernomyrdin said that
terms for Russian troop
participation would be worked
out separately in the next few
days.

Wonder if that would be worked-out with Belgrade, not NATO, that would be ominous, worse than partition :(



To: Yaacov who wrote (11194)6/6/1999 5:32:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
Yaacov forget about Milo, (won or lost) think Bolshaya Igra...

Things seem to have gotten a bit
complex. In spite of NATO's
bombastic assertions that no
negotiations are taking place, but
only the presentation of
non-negotiable demands, there are
clearly negotiations going on. To be
more precise, Belgrade is clearly
not, at this moment, prepared to
simply accept NATO's terms for
ending the conflict. After two days
of discussions, talks adjourned
again without a conclusive
settlement emerging.

It is not clear what is holding up the
agreement. NATO has hinted that it
is simply a matter of timetables. We
suspect that there are deeper
issues involved. First, there is a
question of what Milosevic agreed
to. Milosevic agreed to the G-8
agreements. The G-8 agreements
required that NATO be
subordinated to the UN. NATO is
representing Milosevic's
acceptance of the G-8 compromise
as a capitulation by Milosevic to
NATO. Milosevic may have been
unprepared for the "spin" that
NATO put on his acceptance of
G-8. In practical terms, he was
expecting a UN peace keeping
force and found he had brought a
NATO occupation. It is possible that
Milosevic is genuinely surprised by
NATO's interpretation of his
acceptance. Under some political
attack at home, we must be opened
to the possibility that Milosevic is in
the process of reconsidering his
acceptance.

Second, there is a potential political
crisis brewing in Moscow.
Chernomyrdin has come under
attack from the Duma for his
handling of the negotiations and
Yeltsin himself is said to be
extremely unhappy that the
bombing is continuing. The
perception inside of Russia
appears to be that Yeltsin caved in
to the West. Yeltsin, who sacrifices
politicians as a hobby, is quite
capable of turning on Chernomyrdin
and along with that, on NATO and
the agreement.

It has been very important for NATO
to represent Milosevic's
acceptance of the G-8 agreement
as surrender by Serbia. Otherwise,
if the G-8 agreement were viewed
as it originally was—as a
compromise between NATO and
Russia—then the question would
be whether anything was actually
gained by the two month bombing
campaign. NATO's public gloating
over Serb capitulation may have
gone too far, humiliating both
Milosevic and Yeltsin, and
undercutting the credibility of
Chernomyrdin. NATO's spun
Belgrade's acceptance for
domestic political purposes. The
issue on the table now is whether
that spin has made it impossible for
Milosevic and even the Russians to
go through with the deal.

It is possible that the only delays
are technical in nature. It is also
possible that NATO's public
presentation of the agreement has
caused second thoughts in
Belgrade. The most important
question, of course, is whether
NATO gloating has caused second
thoughts in Moscow.
stratfor.com