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To: J R KARY who wrote (25068)6/5/1999 8:08:00 PM
From: Adam Nash  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 213177
 
I expect we'll see 1GHz x86 chips and PPCs around the same time: 2H 2000. That is assuming the world doesn't end first ;-)

I would not worry about IA-64. It will take years for that processor to get traction. Think about Pentium Pro, the first P6. That architecture really didn't take hold until the PII made it affordable and brought speed up. And that was the same instruction set!

One of the strengths of the PPC instruction set design from the start was the implied move to 64-bit - originally, the PPC 620 was supposed to have made that move a long time ago.

There are a lot of reasons why that didn't happen - mainly because Apple ended up being the only computer vendor to really use the chip in volume. However, from an architectural standpoint, Apple will be able to move to 64-bit when they need to.

The real question I have right now is how long will Mac OS 8.x live? Microsoft intended Win95 to be the last DOS-based release, but look what happened - Win98 and now Win98E. Why? Because for most consumers, Win95 fit the bill.

The same could happen to Apple. I know they want Sonata to be the last major Mac OS 8.x release, but I think the market may demand it continue on longer.

I know I will...