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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 644 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
55507Depends if you are a long or short term trader....Jim McMannis6/5/2006
55506Elroy Can you name any HB's that filed BK last cycle? Curious to know which Broken_Clock6/5/2006
55505Kiyosaki's philosophy is more about using what you know to go into business Moominoid6/5/2006
55504KB homes filed for BK as did William LyonLizzie Tudor6/5/2006
55503RYL was a great call on your part Grace. You did fantastic dd and research... agladman6/5/2006
55502hey ork.... you sure you don't sleep in a coffin and wear a black cape <gLizzie Tudor6/5/2006
55501<i>based on the fact that most home builders filed for bankruptcy in 1993&GraceZ6/5/2006
55500well my friend who bought a new home (not tol) in the last downturn told me theyLizzie Tudor6/5/2006
55499>>Whose gonna rescue all the old folks in the upper floors when the power patron_anejo_por_favor6/5/2006
55498As BWAC implies, claims under home owners warranties simply become one of many cElroy Jetson6/5/2006
55497Paradise? I'm in agony! Should I sell my Ryland 2007 puts today or hold on azebra4o16/5/2006
55496<I>think we'll hold 11k on the dow, a level it took FIVE YEARS to achicarranza26/5/2006
55495I just got an email from Toll Brothers RE South Barrington IL properties. ThereTheStockFairy6/5/2006
55494MTH is worse.....<G>patron_anejo_por_favor6/5/2006
55493Another day in paradise for shorts of Hommies...LOLJim McMannis6/5/2006
55492Talk about inflation...My water/sewer bill just took a 50% increase. I called thJim McMannis6/5/2006
55491<i>what a bloodbath in TOL!!!!!</i> a thing of beauty <g>orkrious6/5/2006
55490RE:"If in 1990, the home owner had known he would ultimately offer his homeJim McMannis6/5/2006
55489Bernanke Emphasizes Inflation Risk Associated Press June 5, 2006 3:04 p.m. WASChanceIs6/5/2006
55488NVR down 4.6% and they haven't fessed up yet.Travis_Bickle6/5/2006
55487think we'll hold 11k on the dow, a level it took FIVE YEARS to achieve? I dLizzie Tudor6/5/2006
55486<will warranties on homes be honored in that event?> Ha! They aren't BWAC6/5/2006
55485>>>Given this continuing commodities/market meltdown + draining liquidiChanceIs6/5/2006
55484I don't think Google is going to fall much. But it really doesn't matteLizzie Tudor6/5/2006
55483will warranties on homes be honored in that event?Live2Sail6/5/2006
55482based on the fact that most home builders filed for bankruptcy in 1993, I think Elroy Jetson6/5/2006
55481Goog only -3. I need 20x that before those jokers put the kibosh on their homebuLive2Sail6/5/2006
55480Of course you and I know that a 25% discount, from today's prices, may not lElroy Jetson6/5/2006
55479thanks.... well I remain of the opinion that you can get rock bottom prices fromLizzie Tudor6/5/2006
55478Two things about predictions: 1) the path between two points may not be a straigLive2Sail6/5/2006
55477The only thing the analysts were analyzing was their employers position, holdingBWAC6/5/2006
55476Last time in Los Angeles, home prices began their decline in November of 1989 anElroy Jetson6/5/2006
55475>>>Things are worse than the industry pimps thought it was going to be.ChanceIs6/5/2006
55474when do you think we'll see the bottom in California real estate? 4 years fLizzie Tudor6/5/2006
55473your time will come.... wait a few more mos and you'll get the house you wanLizzie Tudor6/5/2006
55472what a bloodbath in TOL!!!!!Lizzie Tudor6/5/2006
55471They are trying very hard to hold the dow above the 11100 support it seems.damainman6/5/2006
55470High rise condo's in the desert? Whose gonna rescue all the old folks in thedamainman6/5/2006
55469Just heard about a couple potential bankruptcies here in FL. Firesaled the houseJim McMannis6/5/2006
55468What a freakin' shocker, huh? Things are worse than the industry pimps thougLive2Sail6/5/2006
55467Is it best to be on the top floor? Grace, how would you like to be an Indian lLive2Sail6/5/2006
55466Yup....those charts are now scrambled....and you can't unscramble an HB.....patron_anejo_por_favor6/5/2006
55465Yes,I believe this is the first time we have not seen that vicious bear market bdamainman6/5/2006
55464>>so their "road to hell" will be paved with Hardibacker and grapatron_anejo_por_favor6/5/2006
55463I expected to see RYL in the mid to low 40s, I just never expected to see it heaGraceZ6/5/2006
55462In five years they'll all hate it again and deny that they ever thought thatGraceZ6/5/2006
55461<i>There are some people who get an enormous amount of satisfaction from oWyätt Gwyön6/5/2006
55460<i>that won't be happening while Rich Dad, Poor Dad is the third most GraceZ6/5/2006
55459Implosion A. Gary Shilling 06.19.06, 12:00 AM ET forbes.com If you still don&#CalculatedRisk6/5/2006
55458The housing market's big chill snl.comLes H6/5/2006
55457<i>I've kept my current tenant over ten years in the one property we sWyätt Gwyön6/5/2006
5545611:49 a.m.: Housing stocks are getting hit hard today after two different companChanceIs6/5/2006
55455Way back when we were trying to get financing for a rental property, the mortgagGraceZ6/5/2006
55454Rate hike survival guide 5-17-06 | Cybele Weisser money.cnn.com NEW YORK (MONEProud_Infidel6/5/2006
55453Inflation Tip: watch money supply csmonitor.comLes H6/5/2006
55452Is Easy Money Going Down the Drain? Anxious Markets Closely Watch Push by WorlChanceIs6/5/2006
55451The condo market in Florida can be very soft for a few years without bringing thGST6/5/2006
55450It doesn't seem that many think middle America will crash. The question is John Vosilla6/5/2006
55449I think Robert Campbell has a seminar in your area on that topic late next week.John Vosilla6/5/2006
55448I'm taking a more cautious stance short term due to the apparent flood of inJohn Vosilla6/5/2006
55447<i>Notice how much higher the percentage of rentals are compared to for saWyätt Gwyön6/5/2006
55446UPDATE: Homebldrs Among Top 10 Losers As Pulte Cuts Views >>>Sorry if ChanceIs6/5/2006
55445UPDATE: Standard Pacific Orders Dn 41%;Mkt Wonders About A Crash By JANET MORRIChanceIs6/5/2006
55444NVR getting beat up pretty good today.Travis_Bickle6/5/2006
55443Standard Pacific Orders Dn 41%;Mkt Wonders About A Crash By JANET MORRISSEY JunChanceIs6/5/2006
55442That was a nice counterpoint to the "everything is going to crash" vieGST6/5/2006
55441Home prices always start to drop fast once the foreclosures begin. Lenders wantElroy Jetson6/5/2006
55440Also the bank can recycle that equity at a very high multiple of perhaps 10 whenJohn Vosilla6/5/2006
55439"The off the cuff rule of thumb has been 100x monthly rent for decades....&John Vosilla6/5/2006
55438"..but the new homes must keep coming to try to use up the excess high-basiJohn Vosilla6/5/2006
55437Yes I was referring to what the yearly GRM should be. Seems Austin is way above John Vosilla6/5/2006
55436JCP (not Misheldo, sorry), You could scoop up a fixer-upper for a song, and theLive2Sail6/5/2006
55435One of the comments talked about going back to 2003 levels. That should take exJohn Vosilla6/5/2006
55434<i>Ever been downwind of a pig farm? Just speculation on my part.</i>mishedlo6/4/2006
55433Middle America poised for real estate gains freep.comLes H6/4/2006
55432Some fascinating residential RE related charts and analysis: bigpicture.typepadbentway6/4/2006
55431OT: Runner meets grizzly: "This is going to hurt" By Sean Pearson Hombentway6/4/2006
55430With every home he lists, another chance he takes... springfieldnews.comLes H6/4/2006
55429Started about 6 months ago. Gaining momo to the downside.Broken_Clock6/4/2006
55428Heartland may feel housing boom next By Kenneth R. Harney seattletimes.nwsourcebentway6/4/2006
55427200x seems high by almost any standard, at sustainable interest rates. The off tpatron_anejo_por_favor6/4/2006
55426I read that story to the wife this a.m., we were both ROTFLOAO, as we were sayinpatron_anejo_por_favor6/4/2006
55425Pig farms, feedlots, slaughterhouses, chicken farms and papermills are all thingbentway6/4/2006
55424anybody know about the Hawaii house and condo market? is it tanking like FL and Wyätt Gwyön6/4/2006
55423yeah, if you are buying to own it's different. and especially as you move upWyätt Gwyön6/4/2006
55422The hurdles for a non-investment homebuyer are lower though. I'd say 150x isSouthFloridaGuy6/4/2006
55421if monthly rent is 100x house price, then you have 12% gross return. in TX, deduWyätt Gwyön6/4/2006
55420deleteTravis_Bickle6/4/2006
55419RE:"Ever been downwind of a pig farm? Just speculation on my part." YJim McMannis6/4/2006
55418Didn't know you were in St. Pete. What area?Jim McMannis6/4/2006
55417That sounds like the home building industry I'm familiar with. <i>. .Elroy Jetson6/4/2006
55416Interesting post from a florida real estate guy, mentions JOE: Message 22509371Travis_Bickle6/4/2006
55415Ten open houses in my st. pete neighborhood today, never seen more than four. ATravis_Bickle6/4/2006
55414Cramer advice can hurt rookies (buying at the market open) modbee.comLes H6/4/2006
55413Lenders on borrowed time Loose lending standards in the 'subprime' markeCalculatedRisk6/4/2006
55412"have <b>monthly</b> rent be 1% of property price, which works Live2Sail6/4/2006
55411I am a masonry contractor in the inland empire area of so cal servicing most of Travis_Bickle6/4/2006
55410Private planes at shareholder expense by: epich17 06/01/06 06:49 am Msg: 1821 oTravis_Bickle6/4/2006
55409The Beginning Of A Housing Bubble Hangover: Arizona A pair of reports on the ArTravis_Bickle6/4/2006
55408Garnett, Kansas just opened an ethanol plant late last year. Driving through ttdl41386/4/2006
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