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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 644 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
56307OK value your house at $20,000,000 then. Why not? I understand the term "smishedlo6/19/2006
56306I'll remember that next time I write my rent check to the landlord who chargSouthFloridaGuy6/18/2006
56305Drug companies don't look for cures - they look for treatments. The biggestbentway6/18/2006
56304SD was definitely more bubblicious than SF. I don't expect such a backlog heLive2Sail6/18/2006
56303<i>How is it more predictable than rent? That's my question. </i>GraceZ6/18/2006
56302Face up to inflation...or explain it away msnbc.msn.comLes H6/18/2006
56301I'm guessing that a glut of condo conversions may be skewing the median loweXBrit6/18/2006
56300LOL! But not for long...Broken_Clock6/18/2006
56299<<< How is it that with all this "wealth creation" folks are tdl41386/18/2006
56298I know some people that are being let go at the end of September when the currenLes H6/18/2006
56297They're obviously the leading edge that may portend what's to come elsewLes H6/18/2006
56296RE:"Even skyrocketing insurance rates down here in Florida are a minor issuJim McMannis6/18/2006
56295Maybe the FL employment level is muted because of so many illegals off the booksJim McMannis6/18/2006
56294WOW! Live2sail, read Les's post, this is San Diego. BTW I am expecting a hoLizzie Tudor6/18/2006
56293For newly built homes, condos and condo conversions, the median dropped from $49Les H6/18/2006
56292I totally agree. IMO, the facade job growth coupled with massive debt growth/conBroken_Clock6/18/2006
56291Drug firm blocks cheap blindness cure A major drug company is blocking access tLes H6/18/2006
56290I'm talking about the long run not over the 15 year or so real estate cycle.Moominoid6/18/2006
56289<i>Elroy will tell you they rise at exactly at the rate of growth in nominMetacomet6/18/2006
56288latimes.com From the Los Angeles Times Sellers' new math As houses stay on Srini6/18/2006
56287First, maybe I'm just more cynical in my old age, but I find it incredulous tdl41386/18/2006
56286azcentral.com How low will it go? Home prices may dip 10% as fear grips Valley Wowzer6/18/2006
56285<i>Thanks Ray Please talk to GST for me</i> :} You're welcome. Riskmgmt6/18/2006
56284We need extreme weakness in financials for the deflation to even be a possibilitJohn Vosilla6/18/2006
56283Your housing costs are set pretty much if you have a fixed rate mortgage and capJohn Vosilla6/18/2006
56282>>>Amazingly enough the same is true for my home owner's insurance Tommaso6/18/2006
56281But over time costs of construction and renovation continue to go up and usuallyJohn Vosilla6/18/2006
56280You seem to have taken a more negative stance on the economy these days. AnythinJohn Vosilla6/18/2006
56279How is it more predictable than rent? That's my question.Moominoid6/18/2006
56278<i>I don't really get that... who knows what property taxes might be oGraceZ6/18/2006
56277<i> I do whatever I can to REDUCE the quoted value of my house--and by so GraceZ6/18/2006
56276<i>I guess I don't understand what depreciating means. I agree that tMoominoid6/18/2006
56275<i>You can "value" your home for whatever price you want. But thGraceZ6/18/2006
56274FWIW, Progress Energy has already ceased production of Synfuel: newsobserver.co8bits6/18/2006
56273Job growth watch jobwatch.orgLes H6/18/2006
56272Troops scare would-be illegal immigrants away from border, officials say kvoa.cCaBum6/18/2006
56271<i>The best article that I've read in a long time. Bravo Mish, for tamishedlo6/17/2006
56270Timing is everything. To be late is to lose money.CaBum6/17/2006
56269Mish, great insight as usual. The dollar may indeed just stay in a trading rangeSouthFloridaGuy6/17/2006
56268Advertising gets expensive for agents when nothing comes in to pay the bills. MoBroken_Clock6/17/2006
56267I guess I don't understand what depreciating means. I agree that the house Metacomet6/17/2006
56266The best article that I've read in a long time. Bravo Mish, for taking the Riskmgmt6/17/2006
56265I mean it is a physically depreciating asset. The land under it isn't.Moominoid6/17/2006
56264Bush's War on the Poor..... academycomputerservice.comMetacomet6/17/2006
56263If you live in a house that is depreciating, you need to move to another state.Metacomet6/17/2006
56262<The proper conclusion is that currency trends may have little or nothing to GST6/17/2006
56261Is the US dollar toast? globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mishmishedlo6/17/2006
56260I'm predicting a recession so no rush to buyLizzie Tudor6/17/2006
56259Lizzie, It's finally here -- closing prices under the asks in Palo Alto. ThLive2Sail6/17/2006
56258inchingup,re:"Bush will never stop fighting wars while he is in office"John Chen6/17/2006
56257"I see Fed people. They're everywhere. Walking around like regular peLes H6/17/2006
56256A pretty cool way to handle some of the downside of our trade imbalance. InnovaLive2Sail6/17/2006
56255Live2Sail,re:"unemployment #". Like all government# these days, it'John Chen6/17/2006
56254Yeah, well a little event called 9/11 extended it a while....but better late thapatron_anejo_por_favor6/17/2006
56253<< 70K jobs growth >>> How many new Super WallyWorlds does that tdl41386/17/2006
56252Good point. A few years ago, before 2003, my wife and I were shopping for a couLive2Sail6/17/2006
56251Yeah, it ain't good. And it supposedly doesn't keep up with the labor foLive2Sail6/17/2006
56250I don't think so. The source is at the bottom.bentway6/17/2006
56249"we already have the bad jobs creation, the 70K jobs growth figure last moninchingup6/17/2006
56248Is that up to date? Mishmishedlo6/17/2006
56247It's not that bad in Bushworld Lizzie. >70k jobs / month created was thebentway6/17/2006
56246You called it 5 years too early!CaBum6/17/2006
56245tdl - FWIW (nothing) I agree with you. Discount about 2-3% of the GDP as nonsensmishedlo6/16/2006
56244well 70K job creation with stagnant wage growth (for 5 years) in an economy of tLizzie Tudor6/16/2006
56243Re: <i>What kind of fraud by the borrower would end up in title insurance?Dan36/16/2006
56242You can "value" your home for whatever price you want. But the market mishedlo6/16/2006
56241"we already have the bad jobs creation, the 70K jobs growth figure last monLive2Sail6/16/2006
56240we already have the bad jobs creation, the 70K jobs growth figure last month is Lizzie Tudor6/16/2006
56239Oahu is a world unto itself. Unlike the other islands, its place in history hasDrygulch Dan6/16/2006
56238deleted - repeat of previously posted Schiller articleChanceIs6/16/2006
56237"My definition of a recession is a situation where people have some money aLive2Sail6/16/2006
56236<i>One of the greatest benefits of owning a house is that it allows you maMoominoid6/16/2006
56235Jim, That's one of my points. If you can't believe the govt numbers...ttdl41386/16/2006
56234<i>and even PhD economists can overestimate the tax benefit (as in buy a hGraceZ6/16/2006
56233U.S. housing boom is biggest since 1890 Increase in home prices may have been psBroken_Clock6/16/2006
56232Thanks.Jim McMannis6/16/2006
56231Fellow USF grad, I believe that the classic definition of recession is 2 consecuJim McMannis6/16/2006
56230<<< recession in 6 months >>> Buyers have vacated the residentdl41386/16/2006
56229They have not come out and said it. Their indicators need to be low or negative Live2Sail6/16/2006
56228>>>going to add some more XLF puts<<< Hmmmm. I got toasted sChanceIs6/16/2006
56227is ECRI predicting a recession yet?Lizzie Tudor6/16/2006
56226<I>most recent title insurance cases involve fraud by the borrower, the leLizzie Tudor6/16/2006
56225>>>The other three components of wealth creation: cash flow, tax benefiChanceIs6/16/2006
56224More from ECRI: Homes. Median prices probably peaked last October, says LakshmanLive2Sail6/16/2006
56223>>>How about the prime rate near 9- 10%, fixed mortgage rates at 8-9%, ChanceIs6/16/2006
56222Nice pop on that one today.....<G>patron_anejo_por_favor6/16/2006
56221The don't call DC "Clowntown" fer nothing!patron_anejo_por_favor6/16/2006
56220Rate hike odds are ending the week at their highs. The market is priced for 100Live2Sail6/16/2006
56219'The last three cycles dipped 50% or greater. Why should this one be differeJohn Vosilla6/16/2006
56218"Not quite. The original discussion started.. " Nah, the original of John Vosilla6/16/2006
56217Great re entry for KBH. Only larger builder in the green.John Vosilla6/16/2006
56216Bullish for real estate? Not! <img src='http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?sBroken_Clock6/16/2006
56215I don't know Florida, SoCal or AZ, but Hawaii has no job base per se. It'Broken_Clock6/16/2006
56214Yes, but, I'm not sure that supports your idea of a 50% roll back or my ideaDrygulch Dan6/16/2006
56213<<Somehow, I just can't see the political powers that be, whether in aBroken_Clock6/16/2006
56212I had no idea about the politics on the Big Island. I doesn't surprise me tDrygulch Dan6/16/2006
5621150% from peak. A 725k unit would go for 365k. That would be replacement cost foBroken_Clock6/16/2006
5621050% correction of the runup of what to what? Or just a half-er of current pricesJim McMannis6/16/2006
56209I'm not forecasting a return to 2004 levels. I'm forecasting a 50% correBroken_Clock6/16/2006
56208As I recall, in Hawaii 2004 was a hugh selling year with lots of transactions anDrygulch Dan6/16/2006
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