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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 645 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
59507<<How many of these "deep pocketed boomers" are going to be ableJohn Vosilla8/9/2006
59506What a bunch of unmitigated nonsense. . <i>"It is the first Elroy Jetson8/9/2006
59505The Fed Should Have Taken a Hike >>>Pay me now or pay me later. The pChanceIs8/9/2006
59504S&P does not appear to be holding 1280 support. Probably not good for markesaveslivesbyday8/9/2006
59503I don't know, maybe hire more shrinks and shrills a la Cramer and Kudlow?damainman8/9/2006
59502Oh I forgot- it's like an additional property tax on top of the one you alredamainman8/9/2006
59501>>>people with a high balance of real estate in their portfolios will sChanceIs8/9/2006
59500>>>Mello Roos<<< Qu'es que c'est - Mello Roos????ChanceIs8/9/2006
59499The big question for Bob Toll is what is going to improve to turn things around Live2Sail8/9/2006
59498It looks to me like the last short covering rally in the HBs cleaned out supportBroken_Clock8/9/2006
59497<i>Demographic trends with deep pocketed baby boomer the constant theme sasaveslivesbyday8/9/2006
59496Better yet, the older communities usually have no Mello Roos or HOA's!damainman8/9/2006
59495CFC: They're actually selling this report. Gee, this wasn't predictable Perspective8/9/2006
59494>>>Did you read the story about the urban, Washington state teacher whoChanceIs8/9/2006
59493>>>the big builders increase their market share as analysts have said sChanceIs8/9/2006
59492Don't forget all of the debt the Bush administration has saddled this countrThink4Yourself8/9/2006
59491I can tell you in 1992-94 there seemed to be very few with pockets lined with grJohn Vosilla8/9/2006
59490"This is way off topic, unless of course you are concerned about how the neLive2Sail8/9/2006
59489Gotta give Jim Cramer credit for this call on 8/4: "Don't short them tTravis_Bickle8/9/2006
59488Good point, I forgot about that - however, how many of the public builders will damainman8/9/2006
59487Yeah I was cute too and missed the latest moves down. Tons of stuff like BAC, WBJohn Vosilla8/9/2006
59486But the national builders get to buy land again at distressed prices first. SawJohn Vosilla8/9/2006
59485>>>The trend is now down and it's not worth trying to be cute.<&ChanceIs8/9/2006
59484When the small builder closes down, the big builders increase their market sharedamainman8/9/2006
59483Oops, LOL: Developer Proposal Raises A Furor Loss of Firetrucks Possible for DeDale Baker8/9/2006
59482'how bad will things get once those factors occur in second half of year?John Vosilla8/9/2006
59481"I wonder what it feels like to be a rookie fund manager? You buy the stockdamainman8/9/2006
59480That Toll guy is finally admitting to what many of us on the thread have been spdamainman8/9/2006
59479All small builders go under who don't close up shop. Can't even come cloJohn Vosilla8/9/2006
59478From Splotto - A homebuilder on the FOOL - With a national company - He is locatmishedlo8/9/2006
59477If you assume the prior month low was due to missing reports, which are includedThink4Yourself8/9/2006
59476I took profits on all my lender shorts. Now just have a couple of NEW puts.Travis_Bickle8/9/2006
59475Yes -- that is the point.GST8/9/2006
59474Message 22688053 I think the above post by Bobcor (and my reply) says it all. orkrious8/9/2006
59473I just shorted this yesterday after talking to a broker who works there who saidjpk18/9/2006
59472They probably are stupid. I'm trying to find subprimers not at risk of that John Vosilla8/9/2006
59471Oh the humanity!!!!! My shorted TOL calls have slipped out of the money. I wasChanceIs8/9/2006
59470TOL getting hammered. I bought some out of the money (now in the money) 08'Travis_Bickle8/9/2006
59469I bailed on my LEND short. I don't have the details, but I think I shorted ChanceIs8/9/2006
59468>>>Yet at the same time Morgan Stanley buying Saxon at about a 30% premChanceIs8/9/2006
59467There are several funds with big LEND positions. finance.yahoo.com Today they orkrious8/9/2006
59466Yet at the same time Morgan Stanley buying Saxon at about a 30% premium to yesteJohn Vosilla8/9/2006
59465The advantage of being a private builder: “Jade Homes, a Sarasota-based builderTravis_Bickle8/9/2006
59464From the LEND PR: I am not a real estate banking expert - just playing the broaChanceIs8/9/2006
59463>>>The price of a barrel of oil in Canada has gone up only half as muchTommaso8/9/2006
59462AP Countrywide July Loan Funding Falls Wednesday August 9, 8:58 am ET CountrywidBroken_Clock8/9/2006
59461Shocker! lol! WASHINGTON, Aug 9 (Reuters) - Fannie Mae (FNM.N: Quote, Profile,Broken_Clock8/9/2006
59460LEND guides down. From Yahoo's In-Market summary: "Reports Q2 (Jun) eaAl_Tannr8/9/2006
59459In Detroit there was recently a scandal. The school board was taking teachers tThink4Yourself8/9/2006
59458What geographic area do you work in? I work in the Hawaii market and have contacBroken_Clock8/9/2006
59457LEND down 10% in pre. biz.yahoo.comChanceIs8/9/2006
59456>>>Holy cow. Do you really believe that public school teachers want to ChanceIs8/9/2006
59455"is the first downturn in the 40 years since we entered the business that wsammaster8/9/2006
59454Re: <i>Nobody is lining up for day old bread.</i> The guys with 3 uDan38/9/2006
59453TOL down $1.10 in pre. <EOM>ChanceIs8/9/2006
59452I work in seasonal/vacation markets. There is no "normal" market inveMicawber8/9/2006
59451*DJ US MBA Market Index Rises 4.9% To 553.3 From 527.6 *DJ US MBA Purchase IndPaul Kern8/9/2006
59450I'm a bit surprised WCI reported a profit at all. They are predicting earniThink4Yourself8/9/2006
59449TOL warns: marketwatch.comTravis_Bickle8/9/2006
59448WCI Reports Second Quarter 2006 Results Wednesday August 9, 6:00 am ET BONITA Travis_Bickle8/9/2006
59447WCI missed by a mile: 6:03 AM ET 8/9/06 [WCI] WCI COMMUNITIES Q2 EARNINGS 52C VTravis_Bickle8/9/2006
59446'The recession call is my own SWAG.' My sway too. Housing inventory, iJohn Vosilla8/9/2006
59445You're right. ECRI isn't predicting stock prices. In fact, stock prices Live2Sail8/9/2006
59444US consumers one fourth of oil production in the world even though our reserves John Vosilla8/9/2006
59443Read somewhere that last time out ECRI first started predicting a recession in SJohn Vosilla8/9/2006
59442MBA: Application Volume Increases calculatedrisk.blogspot.com Still a very weaCalculatedRisk8/9/2006
59441I threw that comment about the D.O.Ed. in there for you. I'm aghast at youLive2Sail8/9/2006
59440Housing weakness (or lack of previous strength), consistently crummy jobs reportLive2Sail8/9/2006
59439Building on Spec Raises Specter of Office Glut washingtonpost.comLes H8/8/2006
59438Fed Rate Pause May Not Help Banks >>>DSL was up today, but the homies ChanceIs8/8/2006
59437>>>getting rid of department of education.<<< I was not awareChanceIs8/8/2006
59436All is well is SI-land. My JOE puts did quite well today so I might be a tad biBroken_Clock8/8/2006
59435I am sorry that you felt you were being attacked. I commented on your post to DoRiskmgmt8/8/2006
59434Suspect the newspapers have a "Stocks rose due to..." and a "StoThink4Yourself8/8/2006
59433<i>I tend to disagree with the assumption that America's loss of economishedlo8/8/2006
59432I agree a recession is coming. What are you seeing that is making you expect itLizzie Tudor8/8/2006
59431Strike Four globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mishmishedlo8/8/2006
59430<i>It is elitism at its worse.</i> Agreed. The first house in my ckikogrey8/8/2006
59429"It really shouldn't be such a challenge to merely replace the incompetLive2Sail8/8/2006
59428I think that we're done with the increases. In fact, cuts by April of 2007 aLive2Sail8/8/2006
59427<i>I was at as much a loss to explain the post horrible earnings rally ...saveslivesbyday8/8/2006
59426Internet shopping in a country that does not use credit cards is hardly a valid GST8/8/2006
59425we get it GST. But the fallacy that the other economies are capable of picking Lizzie Tudor8/8/2006
59424I tend to disagree with the assumption that America's loss of economic preemMetacomet8/8/2006
59423The price of a barrel of oil in Canada has gone up only half as much as the pricGST8/8/2006
59422The trend is what matters -- and the trend is towards higher prices for goods anGST8/8/2006
59421I thought the Japanese should have bought gold, and said so, to much guffawing, Tommaso8/8/2006
59420Productivity Growth Slows in the Spring >>>Not to worry - 5.5% by DeceChanceIs8/8/2006
59419That is possible, but if so it will be more related to demand and supply issues mishedlo8/8/2006
59418RE: "Get liquid...soon. Put your money in a mattress.." The thought hDon Earl8/8/2006
59417<i>The importance of the US is not in question. The declining importance omishedlo8/8/2006
59416that's only in the morning, you should be cookin breakfast for somebody, it&TheStockFairy8/8/2006
59415>>I expect some brownian motion<< Pretty well describes Fed day marpatron_anejo_por_favor8/8/2006
59414>>We'll know the gated community dwellers are getting worried when ...patron_anejo_por_favor8/8/2006
59413JOE and TOL getting slaughtered. I am much relieved, having shorted lots of calChanceIs8/8/2006
59412well, worker "productivity" stalled last month, leading to wage inflatLizzie Tudor8/8/2006
59411It's just the wheels coming off. -g-Broken_Clock8/8/2006
59410<i>First, we had the pause rally. Now we are having the stagflation dump.&Paul Kern8/8/2006
59409Maybe the bubble can move here: <i>Dubai man-made island nears completion Dan38/8/2006
59408<i>"I think this is "the" fed PAUSE rally" /pats selfPaul Kern8/8/2006
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