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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 645 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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61007That is a very well written article, and brings up several points I have not seThink4Yourself8/28/2006
61006RE: Housing Industry's Hidden Cracks An excellent article - even if it is fChanceIs8/28/2006
61005>>>Ernesto looks like hurricane David in 1979. Blew maybe 90 mph in WPBChanceIs8/28/2006
61004>>>Isn't CTX in the S&P 500? If so then index funds HAVE to buyChanceIs8/28/2006
61003Housing Industry's Hidden Cracks By Dan Fitzpatrick RealMoney.com Contributorkrious8/28/2006
61002I was out in my front yard during that one. My best friend went surfing and almTravis_Bickle8/28/2006
61001I live much nearer Saratoga Springs. There isn't much of a bubble here eitheMoominoid8/28/2006
61000<i>Interesting that CTX and RYL are the only builders I found from just reorkrious8/28/2006
60999Ernesto looks like hurricane David in 1979. Blew maybe 90 mph in WPB. hurricaneJim McMannis8/28/2006
60998I looked at the RE section of the local, Lancaster/Palmdale, Ca., newspaper thisWilliam JH8/28/2006
60997<i>Isn't CTX in the S&P 500? If so then index funds HAVE to buy itorkrious8/28/2006
60996JOE is getting to the level where the past few rallies have failed.Travis_Bickle8/28/2006
60995Also boggles the mind why the Dems never mention the increased burden of local RJohn Vosilla8/28/2006
60994nobody knows it yet, the statistics are brand new. Of course in the real world Lizzie Tudor8/28/2006
60993I have two aunts that sold their Florida condos last year and bought timeshares.Think4Yourself8/28/2006
60992Now why isn't that graphic on every Democratic party advertisement? Are theyPerspective8/28/2006
60991the reason nonfarm "productivity" is at such a high level is because aLizzie Tudor8/28/2006
60990wage share of GDP is probably even worse once you back out the executive insiderWyätt Gwyön8/28/2006
60989I think he means use the [ ] symbols instead of < >. The problem with htmTravis_Bickle8/28/2006
60988RE - Charting on SI Thanks. I checked and used the properties to get the chartChanceIs8/28/2006
60987Short term rates a year from now are a tough call. The short end could be lower,GST8/28/2006
60986OT: use the following: <chart>URL minus http:// </chart> REPLACE &CalculatedRisk8/28/2006
60985Interesting that CTX and RYL are the only builders I found from just reviewing tJohn Vosilla8/28/2006
60984>>>Excellent article. Here is the graphic:<<< Thanks - glad yChanceIs8/28/2006
60983Excellent article. Here is the graphic: [graphic]CalculatedRisk8/28/2006
60982I can sense some type of derivative blow up from all this in the Fall. InvertedJohn Vosilla8/28/2006
60981I'm hearing more and more of older folks living up north who own condos as sJohn Vosilla8/28/2006
60980Real Wages Fail to Match a Rise in Productivity - NY Times August 28, 2006 By ChanceIs8/28/2006
60979Way too many are betting short term rates drop dramatically in a year or two so John Vosilla8/28/2006
60978I added to WCI today myself. People with deposits down will probably get stickTravis_Bickle8/28/2006
60977Isn't CTX in the S&P 500? If so then index funds HAVE to buy it at timeThink4Yourself8/28/2006
60976Inverson is the classic recession signal. High oil prices are another. Throw in GST8/28/2006
60975Blue green algae was last years gift from the Corps of Engineers. The CaloosahatMoneyPenny8/28/2006
60974Sorry -- ancient history. Bill was a guy who was the last diehard to refuse to aGST8/28/2006
60973LOL -- Vietnam? Have you ever been there? Vietnam will move upmarket because it GST8/28/2006
60972I just added to my Orkiouscan size position in CTX at 49.29. It's my largesorkrious8/28/2006
60971>>>What to make of the current inversion in the yield curve then of 45 ChanceIs8/28/2006
60970Any doubt this is the equivalent of 1929-30 in Manhattan for high rise constructJohn Vosilla8/28/2006
60969'Chinese cheap labor is not going to be so cheap anymore. Oil will never be John Vosilla8/28/2006
60968Just the power will be out for a few days. Annoying and some minor damage at moJohn Vosilla8/28/2006
60967No housing bubble near you in Niagara Falls..Amazing realtor.com A bargain comJohn Vosilla8/28/2006
60966A consistent pattern of Hurricanes will hurt Labor Day weekend business in FloriJohn Vosilla8/28/2006
60965You can get in still on family reunion. They put your case in line for 8+ years Moominoid8/28/2006
60964'At the bottom end of the economic spectrum it is almost impossible to immigJohn Vosilla8/28/2006
60963They are going to be pumping water into the st. lucie river like crazy which wilTravis_Bickle8/28/2006
60962No problemJim McMannis8/28/2006
60961looking at the graphic, not just Miami but all of Florida. The current path isMoneyPenny8/28/2006
60960Anyone shorting H? ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ PARSIPPaul Kern8/28/2006
60959Look out Miami! nhc.noaa.govThink4Yourself8/28/2006
60958<i>The tax changes may have acted to moderate the bubble.</i> yes, Wyätt Gwyön8/28/2006
60957OK - misunderstood you.Moominoid8/28/2006
60956Re: <i>nobody thinks it is all due to tax changes. from 2001, it was due tDan38/28/2006
60955I was agreeing with CR that tax changes couldn't have been that important. PMoominoid8/28/2006
60954JOE forward p/e up to 45x: finance.yahoo.comTravis_Bickle8/28/2006
60953Who is Bill? Mishmishedlo8/28/2006
60952Cheap labor has only just begun It will move to Vietnam, Africa, and ultimatelymishedlo8/28/2006
60951holy cow!!! from your site <I> Massive Loss on Another Condo that Sells fLizzie Tudor8/28/2006
60950The only thing I found cheaper in Shanghai vs USA was a McDonalds big mac burgerLoren18/28/2006
60949wow....nice site ...losers is the operative word for 2007Proud Deplorable8/28/2006
60948I meant it was mysterious even when inflation adjusted. Given an infinite supplyNight Trader8/28/2006
60947Banned by Clam-Clam. Truly you are a legend! Do you think he/she ever bought igladman8/28/2006
60946The real estate bubble in Shanghai is just that. The glut of high end condos is GST8/27/2006
60945:) You are my hero!GST8/27/2006
60944I think the currency risk is a large part of it, but if you go around the Pearl GST8/27/2006
60943Gst, have you heard of China Television aka CCTV? That's who I've been dLoren18/27/2006
60942imo people went to REITs not because the dollar was crashing, but because they wWyätt Gwyön8/27/2006
60941well I think RE started to take off and of course once it moves the herd jumps iLizzie Tudor8/27/2006
60940people didn't buy RE as an inflation hedge. the people who were behind the RWyätt Gwyön8/27/2006
60939you forgot dollar collapse and inflation hedge. Everytime we have a dollar collaLizzie Tudor8/27/2006
60938>I always took some pride in that ban. << Yes. I hold the distinction10K a day8/27/2006
60937nobody thinks it is all due to tax changes. from 2001, it was due to interest raWyätt Gwyön8/27/2006
60936Are we talking about 2040 or 2050 for the labor price increase? When I owned a TheStockFairy8/27/2006
60935Wall street vacations should be wrapping up, next week. While everyone stays inDan38/27/2006
60934When the Truth Goes Begging By BOB TEDESCHI Published: August 27, 2006 FOR thMick Mørmøny8/27/2006
60933I spend a fair amount of time in China. Chinese are not going to be earning GermGST8/27/2006
60932Doesn’t anyone care about affordable housing? Seventy years after President Frazanjani8/27/2006
60931<i>Anybody know?</i> This might help. foreclosure.comLoren18/27/2006
60930I think inflation was overstated before yes. Such an overstatement would as I saNight Trader8/27/2006
60929You think the CPI was changed in the direction of overstating inflation?Moominoid8/27/2006
60928Freefall being the keyword in this article. US housing slump fuels crash fears jpk18/27/2006
60927Getting real about the real estate bubble Fortune's Shawn Tully dispels fourDan38/27/2006
60926Actually the "mysterious long term flatness" is the result of taking OTommaso8/27/2006
60925Chinese labor is going to be cheap for a very long time. Chinese currency may gTheStockFairy8/27/2006
60924Don't forget CPI measurement changed in the early 90s so is either understatNight Trader8/27/2006
60923The key was basing the index on repeat sales of the same houses and some adjustmMoominoid8/27/2006
60922I heard Shiller explain this chart in an interview. He said it took a lot of diCalculatedRisk8/27/2006
60921I only own the first edition of Shiller's book. I understand he took up realTommaso8/27/2006
60920However, most WCI condo cost more than $280K.George88/27/2006
60919BOE hits at US inflation measure ft.comLes H8/27/2006
60918People who claim it is all due to tax changes have to explain UK, Australia etc.Moominoid8/27/2006
60917I have a friend at the Fed. He visited me in 2003 (IIRC), he said that they wereLive2Sail8/27/2006
60916Same to you :) Hey, I've been accused by some SI'ers of talking about stLoren18/27/2006
60915:)GST8/27/2006
60914Is that the same Sorrento Valley near San Diego? Close by is Accredited HomLoren18/27/2006
60913I don't think anyone on this thread would have imagined that "Easy Al&qChrisJP8/27/2006
60912I think there are at least two distinct parts of the bubble. [graphic] The firCalculatedRisk8/27/2006
60911<i>Bill banned me for calling the tech bubble a bubble</i> Bill bannLoren18/27/2006
60910I get from that chart that housing prices pretty much mirrored inflation from 19JBTFD8/27/2006
60909I also noticed from that NAR slide show that Miami went from 5 month supply of iJBTFD8/27/2006
60908Shiller removes the changes you note ... he compares similar houses (size, bathsCalculatedRisk8/27/2006
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