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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 644 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
Introduction Market Data Compact
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68407Re: AVTR, Schwab has shares for shortingsaveslivesbyday12/8/2006
68406KB Home to take charges, restate results money.cnn.com ... With a slowdown in Think4Yourself12/8/2006
68405"What happens when the sh*t really hits the fan?" I'd say that wiThink4Yourself12/8/2006
68404<i>I've looked at KB Home's financials, and I don't understandorkrious12/8/2006
68403I'm reminded of Zelman's comments this week on impairments (all homies):CalculatedRisk12/8/2006
68402Are you bumping into the so-called vulture funds? There have been several groupsrenovator12/8/2006
68401I just read the release. The $90 mil for land options is in addition to the imporkrious12/8/2006
68400Wow. That impairment charge is 7% of their book value. I'm surprised they orkrious12/8/2006
68399*DJ KB Home Sees $235M-$285M Impairment Charge In 4Q *DJ KB Home Sees 4Q $90M Paul Kern12/8/2006
68398By the looks of things today with the unemployment data and so much liquidity slJim McMannis12/8/2006
68397There are no shares available to short and it has no options.Travis_Bickle12/8/2006
68396>>recover or implode in the spring<< There's approx 20,000 Singladman12/8/2006
68395I agree. The real estate market will either recover or implode in the spring. Think4Yourself12/8/2006
68394I'm looking at AVTR too. Their financials are peculiar - a good proportiosaveslivesbyday12/8/2006
68393Avatar dropped over 50% from the mid 20's in late 89' to the low at the John Vosilla12/8/2006
68392The stock market seems to be a good 6-12 month anticipator. The Hommies on the oJim McMannis12/8/2006
68391Jim look at this most fascinating chart of Avatar, big land developer in FloridaJohn Vosilla12/8/2006
68390That's what I thought, thanks.Jim McMannis12/8/2006
68389Technically, they need to go back to 2001 but I doubt they will.Jim McMannis12/8/2006
68388You can invest in a short fund through an IRA but you cannot short as ERISA prohTravis_Bickle12/8/2006
68387RE:"and they are mostly Real Estate brokers and mortgage lenders ;) that prJim McMannis12/8/2006
68386I recall you being from Detroit. So if you made some good money there, more poweJim McMannis12/8/2006
68385RE:"<edit> I do not think the price declines are over, but they are lJim McMannis12/8/2006
68384>>>the most aggressive short sellers as part of a Wall Street conspiracChanceIs12/8/2006
68383RE:"Serious realtors I know are doing ok and don't miss the frenzy and Jim McMannis12/8/2006
68382<i>Most of the people here are good folks who I'm sure have done well MulhollandDrive12/8/2006
68381Back to auctions like I used to do.. You want ample supply with few speculators John Vosilla12/8/2006
6838070 Years Later, a Scapegoat Gets a Break By FLOYD NORRIS Published: December Mick Mørmøny12/8/2006
68379<i>since I'm diving back into distressed RE with significant equity goMicawber12/8/2006
68378>>>WCI down 11% in two sessions, I don't see how anyone can be unhaChanceIs12/8/2006
68377So how far do lots and home prices drop in PSL in the next 18-24 months? I'mJohn Vosilla12/8/2006
68376'When everyone becomes an eligible buyer by making affordable with easy credJohn Vosilla12/8/2006
68375WCI down 11% in two sessions, I don't see how anyone can be unhappy with thaTravis_Bickle12/8/2006
68374this thread has been pretty right on about the silicon valley real estate marketLizzie Tudor12/8/2006
68373Bank America quietly becoming an interesting chart. Broke down the nice trend sJohn Vosilla12/8/2006
68372'Serious realtors I know are doing ok and don't miss the frenzy and amatJohn Vosilla12/8/2006
68371I actually feel like an idiot myself for continuing to play the stock market on John Vosilla12/8/2006
68370Yes, he was right on. I have thought about that numerous times since then. He Think4Yourself12/8/2006
68369And the outgoing administration is going to reprogram all the keyboards and mousLes H12/8/2006
68368Home Builder Short-Selling Down In Nov,Still High Overall >>>Sorry if ChanceIs12/8/2006
68367and they are mostly Real Estate brokers and mortgage lenders ;) that probably haClase Azul12/8/2006
68366You have to give BeachsideBill credit, he made an unpopular documented public degladman12/8/2006
68365In case anyone else is wondering what DROOPY is, here's a pic: <img src=patron_anejo_por_favor12/8/2006
68364tell me when those median #'s go into double digits for a few years and I wiNOW12/8/2006
6836313 months? You wish. He will probably be there for 25 more months (Jan 20, 200CalculatedRisk12/8/2006
68362DC will do well at least until the idiot running this country is shown the door Think4Yourself12/8/2006
68361everbank.comJim McMannis12/8/2006
68360It looks like WCI stockholders were surprised by the news. Guess they didn'Think4Yourself12/8/2006
68359>>>ROTFL, excellent analogy!<G><<< Yes and very BiblicalChanceIs12/8/2006
68358Two weeks ago I tried to pay off a balance due on a car online and only today foTommaso12/8/2006
68357Cracks in the Mortgage Market are Becoming Visible online.barrons.comLes H12/8/2006
68356<I>Eh! So they have to pay higher interest on their debt, and they are debPaul Kern12/8/2006
68355Eh! So they have to pay higher interest on their debt, and they are debt leveraThink4Yourself12/8/2006
68354For all you Floridians out there... news.yahoo.com Forecaster sees high hurricThink4Yourself12/8/2006
68353PRESS RELEASE: Moody's Cuts Rtgs Of WCI Communities The following isTravis_Bickle12/8/2006
68352Again? I seem to recall they made the little island that their world famous glaThink4Yourself12/8/2006
68351*DJ Moody's Cuts Rtgs Of Wci Communities; Outlook Remains Neg>WCI 12/08Paul Kern12/8/2006
68350I can only imagine what they did to the marine life when the dredged and silted Jim McMannis12/8/2006
68349Re: <i>Mortgage Industry Starts To Roil Bond Markets</i> I think thDan312/8/2006
68348Actually, in Dubai, they are making more land: guide.theemiratesnetwork.comJ. P.12/8/2006
68347I suppose if they unplug it, it doesn't work. <G>Jim McMannis12/8/2006
68346"Our analysis says that sellers are in the position to lower prices becauseLes H12/8/2006
68345It is amazing how many people don't seem to be able to comprehend that the pThink4Yourself12/8/2006
68344We can't all be as smart, humble, and diplomatic as you are. Well... actualThink4Yourself12/8/2006
68343When everyone becomes an eligible buyer by making affordable with easy credit, oSmiling Bob12/8/2006
68342Despite what your local realtor would like you to believe there is a LOT of landThink4Yourself12/8/2006
68341The population was growing at the same rate in the 90's and the value of lantdl413812/8/2006
68340the one and only thing that will save homes is the growing population and the vaClase Azul12/8/2006
68339<i>imaginary bets that they never made.</i> What?Micawber12/8/2006
68338"But when your world consists of sitting in front of a monitor all day corrTravis_Bickle12/8/2006
68337I also said that interest rates would go lower from Aug. in the future in my posBeachside Bill12/8/2006
68336John, IMO it's not ironic, it's hilarious. Despite the name of this thrMicawber12/8/2006
68335Hello, BB, Ben Bernanke ?? I'm honored ... << You post to me or aboutAl_Tannr12/8/2006
68334<<<<Many companies keep a record of everything you do on your computdave rose12/8/2006
68333You post to me or about me and I answer: I said buy bonds and the homeboys in ABeachside Bill12/8/2006
68332Deutsche Bank doesn't buy bob toll's story either: biz.yahoo.comTravis_Bickle12/8/2006
68331"It's not the news, but the market's reaction that matters" Gsaveslivesbyday12/8/2006
68330Another rocket scientist at Thestreet.com, Jon Markman, can't do basic math.Think4Yourself12/8/2006
68329Every quarter, NEW, LEND, CFC ..... sells or securitizes billions of loans. IRamsey Su12/8/2006
68328Cracks in the Mortgage Market are Becoming Visible CRACKS ARE BEGINNING TO SHOWChanceIs12/8/2006
68327Time to Buy 'Horrible' Homebuilders thestreet.comJakeStraw12/8/2006
68326investorrelations.ncen.com Here is the entire press release with more numbers. Ramsey Su12/8/2006
68325Mortgage Industry Starts To Roil Bond Markets >>>Oh my. Don't telChanceIs12/8/2006
68324New Century Financial Corp. Friday said its total mortgage loan production was $Travis_Bickle12/8/2006
68323Nice work by CR on the credit suisse report: calculatedrisk.blogspot.comTravis_Bickle12/8/2006
68322I closed my Pulte short in late November. Didn't lose much, but the time vaMoneyPenny12/8/2006
68321the numbers don't add up from just salaries. If the real estate industry isLizzie Tudor12/8/2006
68320So where exactly do people get their money from? I must be doing something wronSLCMortgages12/7/2006
68319<I>In reality, condos in Kona are off 20-25% since the 05 peak...if you acLizzie Tudor12/7/2006
68318Chris, Lenders have clauses in those types of loans that will cap borrowing if SLCMortgages12/7/2006
68317<I>The biggest source of income people have is from their jobs.</i> Lizzie Tudor12/7/2006
68316Housing Slump Whittles Equity; Stocks Lift Assets By CHRISTOPHER CONKEY DecemberChanceIs12/7/2006
68315My HSBC accounts here in NYC just went to an 8 digit access code which must be erenovator12/7/2006
68314Wyätt Gwyön12/7/2006
68313people are reluctant to lower their prices, so instead of prices dropping, volumWyätt Gwyön12/7/2006
68312Downgrading to Underperform Rating (from NEUTRAL) UNDERPERFORM* Target price (Ramsey Su12/7/2006
68311i think i read that the govt stats for Boston only cover transactions up to $400Wyätt Gwyön12/7/2006
68310It would be quite humorous if they retraced to their 1991 price levels over the Think4Yourself12/7/2006
68309Actually the law on bank accounts has been well settled for several hundred yearTravis_Bickle12/7/2006
68308It's obvious these folks have no historical perspective whatsoever. The onlyPerspective12/7/2006
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