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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 644 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
75576In many cases the loss the builder takes on a completed home is smaller than theElroy Jetson4/9/2007
75575I hear Katy is even more humid than Florida.Jim McMannis4/9/2007
75574<I>In the long-run real estate prices are driven by income.</I> If gpowell4/9/2007
75573I remember General Development well. The situation isn't much different thanJim McMannis4/9/2007
75572They bring in a loan shark? Too funny! ================= bizjournals.com St. JBroken_Clock4/9/2007
75571Cramer has a piece up on builders but I don't subscribe, says analyst note hTravis_Bickle4/9/2007
75570Are corn prices really too high? agweekly.comLes H4/9/2007
75569seminole, Thanks. It is very disappointing to see such action from CSFB. I waTH4/9/2007
75568No the last CSFB report for CTX that I have is dated 2/1/07, looks like etrade dTravis_Bickle4/9/2007
75567seminole, Did you read the research? Why would CSFB do this, as recent researcTH4/9/2007
75566There isn't any difference between Katy, much of Florida, the inland empire John Vosilla4/9/2007
75565there isn't any difference between Katy, TX and some inland city in Mexico tLizzie Tudor4/9/2007
75564'Every builder I talk to is quoting at least $250 a square foot and I have tJohn Vosilla4/9/2007
75563That house is only $56 per square foot and it includes the lot! It's got a Dave4/9/2007
75562I clicked on your link and got this. "We're Sorry There’s been a slighJim McMannis4/9/2007
75561Increased DSL short by 25% of original buy. GT THTH4/9/2007
75560i think it was taken down because the agent included a lot of information aboutWyätt Gwyön4/9/2007
75559<i> It is nice to know what the true 'smart money' on Wall Street orkrious4/9/2007
75558<<He gets spoon fed his knowledge from the "smartest people he knows.John Vosilla4/9/2007
75557More and more new homes in various stages of completion in MLS especially by smaJohn Vosilla4/9/2007
75556It was an email from mike morgan that contained mostly anecdotal stuff, same thiTravis_Bickle4/9/2007
75555I suspect the missing blog was based on this article due to the quote "The Elroy Jetson4/9/2007
75554Nevermind looks like there were some goofy premarket quotes. CSFB also upped RYTravis_Bickle4/9/2007
75553<i>that post was taken down</i> it's there. it's just a liorkrious4/9/2007
75552<<< I don't know PSL >>> PSL was started as a planned devtdl41384/9/2007
75551Why are the builders ramping (do they need a reason)?Travis_Bickle4/9/2007
75550CSFB cuts NVR, raises CTX.Travis_Bickle4/9/2007
75549that post was taken down could you please summerize?Pogeu Mahone4/9/2007
75548Yahoo offers page to help find foreclosure property realestate.yahoo.comLes H4/9/2007
75547A lot of commercial seems to be wrapping up. During a drive over the weekend, IDan34/9/2007
75546thats modesto though, an area that seems like the "port st lucie" of CLizzie Tudor4/9/2007
75545i have been going to forclosure auctions were no properties get sold. the bankPogeu Mahone4/8/2007
75544Re Reg S. Reg S shall not be mixed up with the design of the instrument. It caRockyBalboa4/8/2007
75543Chancels, I see that some points are already resolved. - the most important diRockyBalboa4/8/2007
75542For anyone who doesn't have Mish's thread bookmarked, this is excellent orkrious4/8/2007
75541Dominion Homes reports 1Q sales biz.yahoo.comLes H4/8/2007
75540thanks Elroy. I think the reg-s death spiral that I am familiar with, and this Lizzie Tudor4/8/2007
75539>>>A "floorless convertible" or "death spiral debt"ChanceIs4/8/2007
75538>>>The reaction to the "good" jobs number should be illuminatChanceIs4/8/2007
75537A "floorless convertible" or "death spiral debt" doesn'tElroy Jetson4/8/2007
75536>>>Whatever they issued, Calpine was never in a position to end the spiChanceIs4/8/2007
75535Mostly "2" and "3" on yer list, methinks. It's also impopatron_anejo_por_favor4/8/2007
75534Re: <i>$1.82 billion of $2 billion worth of properties went back to the leDan34/8/2007
75533<i>Dude we all have that guy on ignore for a reason, cause we don't waPaul Kern4/8/2007
75532With tighter lending, the time for an ARM refi was yesterday latimes.com Here Les H4/8/2007
75531Interesting analogy. To add some point: Even Calpine was not a death spiral cRockyBalboa4/8/2007
75530<i>Maybe LIG just got the memo?</i> That's exactly what happeneorkrious4/8/2007
75529Obviously the homes added back to inventory are still new, and more often not evElroy Jetson4/8/2007
75528'New homes are sold, for GAAP reporting, when the sales contract is signed, John Vosilla4/8/2007
75527'Market looks strong, but a reversal may be sharp and have no bottom for quiJohn Vosilla4/8/2007
75526'Suffice it to say that I am convinced that we are in the middle of massive John Vosilla4/8/2007
75525Dude we all have that guy on ignore for a reason, cause we don't want to reaTravis_Bickle4/8/2007
75524Well John Here is your contrarian Want to admit now he does not know what he Pogeu Mahone4/7/2007
75523Tanta Writes: Foreclosure Sales and REO For UberNerds calculatedrisk.blogspot.coCalculatedRisk4/7/2007
75522Making Sense of All the Math Mortgages By BOB TEDESCHI Published: April 6, 200Mick Mørmøny4/7/2007
75521Housing Slump Pinches States in Pocketbook By ABBY GOODNOUGH Published: April Mick Mørmøny4/7/2007
75520Elroy, At first glance, this convertible offering appears to have some safeguartdl41384/7/2007
75519Your supposition is largely correct on a real basis, and even more so in the spiElroy Jetson4/7/2007
75518<i>Residential real estate price bubbles are greatly affected by the availMetacomet4/7/2007
75517I'm sure the buyers of the debt have shorted Kilroy stock to protect their $Elroy Jetson4/7/2007
75516Kilroy Realty is a property owning REIT. The buildings they build they lease outElroy Jetson4/7/2007
75515In the long-run real estate prices are driven by income. By adjusting prices chElroy Jetson4/7/2007
75514The homes sold at auction last month represented a 27 percent increase from FebrLes H4/7/2007
75513<I>>Is the FBI there at every open house making sure that the sales age10K a day4/7/2007
75512is this the Reg-S type of debt then? (iirc that is the term for it, probably anLizzie Tudor4/7/2007
75511>>>this sort of convertible debt is often called "death spiral debChanceIs4/7/2007
75510>>>Inflation and the price of oil<<< Two excellent articles LChanceIs4/7/2007
75509Nice chart from Shiller. Here is what he said about national home price levels igpowell4/7/2007
75508Elroy,re:"Chart..chart..more chart". 1. Best marketing tool. 2. all cJohn Chen4/7/2007
75507'If you want to sell your house, you have to lower your price,' realtor Les H4/7/2007
75506I checked and you're right. New homes are sold, for GAAP reporting, when theElroy Jetson4/7/2007
75505as i understand it (based on my reading of people who know way more than me, likWyätt Gwyön4/6/2007
75504Unless things have changed, there's no sale until escrow closes. So a cancelElroy Jetson4/6/2007
75503Indeed, that's why for our purposes in California there's no better dataElroy Jetson4/6/2007
75502After looking at the recent financial information for Kilroy Realty I noticed soElroy Jetson4/6/2007
75501Elroy,re:"a nice chart of home prices". Sure is. However, borrowing a John Chen4/6/2007
75500Lizzie,re:"Does anybody know why the subprimes rallied so hard yesterday&quJohn Chen4/6/2007
75499RE:"Does anybody know why the subprimes rallied so hard yesterday?" PJim McMannis4/6/2007
75498Does anybody know why the subprimes rallied so hard yesterday? FMT up 8% and NFLizzie Tudor4/6/2007
75497Inflation and the price of oil brookesnews.com How the Iraq war will affect thLes H4/6/2007
75496Thanks. I'm looking at KRC as a possible short down to about 65 and below frJim McMannis4/6/2007
75495BK NEWC was up almost 25% yesterday.Lizzie Tudor4/6/2007
75494KRC had a lot of properties leased to dot bombs at one time and managed the fallLizzie Tudor4/6/2007
75493Chart of the day chartoftheday.comLes H4/6/2007
75492American Home Mortgage sees lower Q1 profit >>>Nothing like easing outChanceIs4/6/2007
75491>>>does that mean Lennar doesn't have to write down the value of thChanceIs4/6/2007
75490it reminds me of japan mutual funds (in the 1980-90's) owned by the govt. N10K a day4/6/2007
75489<i>while the Company's cancellation rate for the 2007 two-month periodWyätt Gwyön4/6/2007
75488Elroy - Re: Lennar dumping land - if they do a joint venture with favorable terenergyplay4/6/2007
75487"Probably started by Cramer" Nah, his rumours are propagated by the Cdamainman4/6/2007
75486John Kilroy Sr was a rigid curmudgeon who ran Kilroy Industries from a shockinglElroy Jetson4/6/2007
75485Are you familiar with Kilroy Realty Trust, symbol KRC, California REIT? If the sJim McMannis4/6/2007
75484>>>weren't the HB stocks trading at "book value" last sprChanceIs4/6/2007
75483Exactly. The OFHEO (Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight) data series Elroy Jetson4/6/2007
75482hmm the 85-90 bubble looks underrepresented for the california market. This is Lizzie Tudor4/6/2007
75481yep, exactly. The first chart you posted. For stocks, I want a chart that showLizzie Tudor4/6/2007
75480<i> ... and the stocks are trading at book value.</i> Correct me ifsaveslivesbyday4/5/2007
75479Here's a nice chart of home prices. Both inflation adjusted and on a logaritElroy Jetson4/5/2007
75478Threshold Set for Home Buyers Banc of America Securities WE ARE NEUTRAL on theChanceIs4/5/2007
75477Kerkorian Makes Offer for Chrysler AP - Billionaire investor Kirk Kerkorian, whoJim McMannis4/5/2007
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