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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 645 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
79376Exactly, just now approaching June 2006 rates. Next stop 2003 rates.Jim McMannis6/12/2007
79375We'd just pay them with the new Trillion Dollar bill, sporting George Bush&#Think4Yourself6/12/2007
79374<i>The public, or China</i> I think for that to happen the public mMike Johnston6/12/2007
79373The public, or China? China holds an incredible amount of US debt. A small ligThink4Yourself6/12/2007
79372The dollar will be replaced when the public gets sick of being robbed and gets sMike Johnston6/12/2007
79371FCB's are selling ( Russ puts the number last week at 12B ) but i would not Mike Johnston6/12/2007
79370"replace the dollar" ==== roll up your sleeve. the chip is quite painBroken_Clock6/12/2007
79369I think at this point the Fed cannot protect the dollar, they can only PRETEND tMike Johnston6/12/2007
79368u better set myth straight. -g- Good call.Broken_Clock6/12/2007
79367Does a gap open much higher in the 10 yr rate at the open every day of late giveJohn Vosilla6/12/2007
79366peak in tnx last June was 52.45Broken_Clock6/12/2007
79365Interesting... though don't you think they try ot protect the dollar first? John Vosilla6/12/2007
79364<i>10-YEAR U.S. TREASURY NOTE YIELD EDGES CLOSER TO 5.25%</i> 5.25%Mike Johnston6/12/2007
79363Yea, the official " no inflation propaganda " is silly but writing aboMike Johnston6/12/2007
79362<I>10-YEAR U.S. TREASURY NOTE YIELD EDGES CLOSER TO 5.25%</I>...Is tmanny_velasco6/12/2007
79361You really are a funny guy.SouthFloridaGuy6/12/2007
79360It's OK...everyone trades in their own style. If I were a longer term shortepatron_anejo_por_favor6/12/2007
79359NYC was going broke, because bear market in stocks and real interest rates goingMike Johnston6/12/2007
79358Insurers against rate volatility get caught short chicagotribune.comLes H6/12/2007
79357>> Life is good in NYC just like in 1929.<< Nothing but blue skies patron_anejo_por_favor6/12/2007
79356It was a nice impulse down. I shorted HOV on the new home sales euphoria 05/24, patron_anejo_por_favor6/12/2007
79355re: That one child they had will be very valuable That one child has enough of Think4Yourself6/12/2007
79354Working Longer: Boomers Staying On Tuesday June 12, 9:29 am ET By Stephen OhlemJim McMannis6/12/2007
79353I am getting confused here, you're telling me 45%, Helicopter is telling meMike Johnston6/12/2007
79352My estimats put consumer inflation closer to 45% per year. We will soon be ZimbaSouthFloridaGuy6/12/2007
79351A lot of people will realize only after they get a second job and realize that tMike Johnston6/12/2007
79350I agree, because positive real interest rates would slow inflation and Goldman&#Mike Johnston6/12/2007
79349RE:"When will people recognize chronic inflation/hyperinflation in progressJim McMannis6/12/2007
79348Ghost cities of 2100 forbes.comLes H6/12/2007
79347I think the record profits in high inflation for Goldman is only sustainable if John Vosilla6/12/2007
79346Just like any addict, as long at the fixes continue, no questions asked.No Mo Mo6/12/2007
79345kTobagoJack6/12/2007
79344As an analogy, look how many people still can't see global warming. We are Think4Yourself6/12/2007
79343As of last quarterly earnings report Goldman was coining around $1 billion a monMike Johnston6/12/2007
79342<i>Look how long it took Bill Gross to finally acknowledge what is going oMike Johnston6/12/2007
79341'Is it a tell that a market is going to close up today and/or fresh batch ofJohn Vosilla6/12/2007
79340'Your reality and perception of reality is totally different from brazilamerJohn Vosilla6/12/2007
79339In a sea of red today, Goldman Sachs, Lehman and Fannie Mae are rising strongly.Mike Johnston6/12/2007
79338If rates jump rapidly everyone is toast except owners of nonbubble RE with fixedJohn Vosilla6/12/2007
79337If you are an early receiver of freshly printed currency your reality and percepMike Johnston6/12/2007
79336I think we have a high probability of a market crash after options expiration.John Vosilla6/12/2007
79335Here is a scatter graph of the 30 year fixed rate vs. the Ten year yield using mCalculatedRisk6/12/2007
79334If we get hyperinflation, everyone who has a loan that isn't fixed rate is tThink4Yourself6/12/2007
79333Goldman Sachs and Lehman Bros are still in the green even with DOW down almost 1John Vosilla6/12/2007
79332I took some chips off the table too, I was short every builder under the sun.Travis_Bickle6/12/2007
79331Volume is pretty good today in the builders so far. The programmed selling is bThink4Yourself6/12/2007
79330is it different this time? TNX 52.19Broken_Clock6/12/2007
79329Covered XHB short (32.77)....they're going lower eventually but I think a bopatron_anejo_por_favor6/12/2007
79328Judging from the homebuilder stock movements it appears the builder conference iThink4Yourself6/12/2007
79327<i>TNX passes 5.2%. That will put 30 year fixed rates at 6.7%+ What a runPaul Kern6/12/2007
79326TNX passes 5.2%. That will put 30 year fixed rates at 6.7%+ What a run ...CalculatedRisk6/12/2007
79325China probes sale of fake blood protein By Audra Ang ASSOCIATED PRESS June 12, longnshort6/12/2007
79324You can PM SI Dave here: Member 9086592Paul Kern6/12/2007
79323Countrywide May Mtge Loan Funding Rose 15% To $44B >CFC Last update: 6/12/200Paul Kern6/12/2007
79322Please take your spat somewhere else. Thanks.bkcraun6/12/2007
79321<i>People who believe that it's possible to get something for nothing Mike Johnston6/12/2007
79320The Armenian specuvestor that became the face of get rich quick real estate is nSLCMortgages6/12/2007
79319Based on that rather narrow optimistic view, my guess is that the bottom is furtBroken_Clock6/11/2007
79318REAL ESTATE: Home Prices Set To Drop Further, But Long Term Is Positive: Study ChanceIs6/11/2007
79317China is an ancient civilization converted into a savage culture by 50 years of Brumar896/11/2007
79316Jim Kunstler. A cynical, boring, pompous, angry not-so-young man, continually cMicawber6/11/2007
79315I have faith humanity will come to accept that our arrogant wastefulness caused Think4Yourself6/11/2007
79314Nat doesn't lie, he's liberallongnshort6/11/2007
79313ot, but you know thatTobagoJack6/11/2007
79312Beijing's role in Darfur genocide By Nat Hentoff June 11, 2007 President Blongnshort6/11/2007
79311ahhhhhhhhhhhhh no glabal warming...don't worry about it.... thirsty?Skywatcher6/11/2007
79310The wrath of 2007: America's great drought By Andrew Gumbel in Los Angeles PLes H6/11/2007
79309Nice dispatch from the Clusterf*ck Nation today (by James Kunstler): jameshowarpatron_anejo_por_favor6/11/2007
79308Keep a Watchful Eye on Wachovia >>>Interesting comments on growth poteChanceIs6/11/2007
79307news10.netBroken_Clock6/11/2007
79306Harvard: The State of the Nation's Housing 2007 jchs.harvard.edu And the JCalculatedRisk6/11/2007
79305California Appraisers Bearish on Market builderonline.comLes H6/11/2007
79304'Maybe their kids will learn something from their parent's mistakes, andJohn Vosilla6/11/2007
79303>>>Facing Foreclosure Fears<<< Could you provide a link on thChanceIs6/11/2007
79302More "tear jerkers". Sounds like the government of California is gettThink4Yourself6/11/2007
79301What Happens When the Boom Goes Bust? By Tim Hanson and Brian Richards June 9, 2Jim McMannis6/11/2007
79300 Facing Foreclosure Fears Written by Jason Kobely, Internet News Producer ThBroken_Clock6/11/2007
79299'And while everybody here including myself was jumping up and down about oveJohn Vosilla6/11/2007
79298LOLstan_hughes6/11/2007
79297Hey! That's my ex-wife's phone number!<G>patron_anejo_por_favor6/11/2007
79296Home builder Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. has been getting hammered by the housingTravis_Bickle6/11/2007
79295From U.S. News: The Spring of Home Sellers' Discontent ... inventories of Travis_Bickle6/11/2007
79294Tradelite has been pretty consistent in his message. And while everybody here inSouthFloridaGuy6/11/2007
79293<<Potential price breaks could be wiped out if interest rates rise any higSouthFloridaGuy6/11/2007
79292Re: HOV and SPF "credit default" options: I hate to read into this, bsaveslivesbyday6/11/2007
79291A Dead Pool on Hovnanian, how quaint. Too bad they didn't have these productstan_hughes6/11/2007
79290CBOE to launch credit default options on 5 companies (Reuters) — The Chicago Bosaveslivesbyday6/11/2007
79289Hey patron, did you happen to catch this particular view in front of the Bellagistan_hughes6/11/2007
79288Hmm, interesting. They have the building in Palo Alto where I work. Looking at tXBrit6/11/2007
79287The cost of borrowing inching up Mortgage rates in the US increase, and short-teLes H6/10/2007
79286Hey All, I've read here on this board throughout the years, as well asJWest09266/10/2007
79285I think RE is at the right price when your mortgage payment is less than equivalbentway6/10/2007
79284The Spring of Home Sellers' Discontent Unsold houses pile up, and the bottomLes H6/10/2007
79283Subprime crisis: Was Greenspan remiss? Former Fed governor says Greenspan blockeLazarus_Long6/10/2007
79282iamfacingforeclosure.com Casey Serin 24 yr old "Would-be Real Estate Mogul10K a day6/10/2007
79281AP Wannabe Buyers Welcome Housing Slump Sunday June 10, 2:16 pm ET By Alex VeigJim McMannis6/10/2007
79280LOL!10K a day6/10/2007
79279Thanks, I just took a drive down the strip in Las Vegas, Pretty cool.Jim McMannis6/10/2007
79278type in maps.google.com (vanilla) and at the top left of your map right before tLizzie Tudor6/10/2007
79277how do you know if you have street viewer set up?Jim McMannis6/10/2007
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