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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 645 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
80776>>Maybe the jails will be filled with contractors who ignore the law?<&patron_anejo_por_favor7/6/2007
80775The XHB rally must be because rates for TNX have reversed and jammed higher makiBroken_Clock7/6/2007
80774liquidity in the mortgage market drying up fast. The brown stuff is starting toThink4Yourself7/6/2007
80773Down to two positions myself, as low as I will go. Don't want to give too mTravis_Bickle7/6/2007
80772Tanta: Delinquencies and Defaults for UberNerds calculatedrisk.blogspot.com AnoCalculatedRisk7/6/2007
80771Thx Just small entrance as a very short term trade on July puts.Smiling Bob7/6/2007
80770You just throw one or two contractors in prison and/or ruin their business. TheThink4Yourself7/6/2007
80769What do you think the effect will be? Maybe the jails will be filled with contrJim McMannis7/6/2007
80768There's one more headwind they didn't discuss. AZ just passed a law heavpatron_anejo_por_favor7/6/2007
80767>>The real point I'd like to make though is that it is --at this pointpatron_anejo_por_favor7/6/2007
80766Builders trying to get something going.Travis_Bickle7/6/2007
80765Be careful on BX, the Green Shoe will support the price until the over-allotmentCalculatedRisk7/6/2007
80764Their projects seem to be very poorly positioned for this cycle. Almost no expoLes H7/6/2007
80763Gary, While everyone knows the housing market is bad, there may be a differenceLive2Sail7/6/2007
80762Fed Needs Bias Toward Inflation, San Francisco Fed President Says By JOHN JANNARChanceIs7/6/2007
80761Had some funds clear in a very timely manner for a change In puts on BX, RYL, anSmiling Bob7/6/2007
80760I noticed the 180 days in a few filings as well. Perhaps it was extended after Think4Yourself7/6/2007
8075910/19/07 ipohome.combkcraun7/6/2007
80758116° and summer’s just started? Sure, throw that brisket up in the air andMick Mørmøny7/6/2007
80757RE:"Seems like many more losers than winner among J6P? The Bush economy at Jim McMannis7/6/2007
80756OT: Whoa! Just looked it up. The prospectus says 120 day lockup from date of fiThink4Yourself7/6/2007
80755Seems like many more losers than winner among J6P? The Bush economy at it'sJohn Vosilla7/6/2007
80754LEN needs 1 more new low below 35.15 I think to complete its 5 wave down sequencGary Burton7/6/2007
80753exactly.Jim McMannis7/6/2007
80752When HOV gets to 10 it will be back to the beginning of 2002. It's really inJim McMannis7/6/2007
80751Isn't there a standard 90 or 180 day period?Smiling Bob7/6/2007
80750HOV back to early 2003 stock price. Florida land hasn't even crashed that hJohn Vosilla7/6/2007
80749OT: Have you been researching BX? If so, do you know when any lockup periods exThink4Yourself7/6/2007
80748'The social consequences are that home owners were prudent' They were John Vosilla7/6/2007
80747There will always be the group that thinks they found the bottom, creating a miSmiling Bob7/6/2007
80746Holders of Puts I own are nervous today as well. Lots of selling pressure. I Think4Yourself7/6/2007
80745That whole piece is baloney. The same prudent home owners had their savings stolPogeu Mahone7/6/2007
80744ref;come to the realization that sometimes stocks go up, and sometimes they go dBonefish7/6/2007
80743Wouldn't surprise me if the sector rallied after the beating it has taken. Travis_Bickle7/6/2007
80742saves--MTH writes off $3.00 ..stock holds yesterday's low and is now actuallGary Burton7/6/2007
80741MTH and other HBs green a few cents. This must be the bounce. Hope longs are casSmiling Bob7/6/2007
80740Homeowners can sell a share of future appreciation sfgate.comLes H7/6/2007
80739Fake ads for sex haunting a Realtor A North Miami-Dade Realtor says she receivedLes H7/6/2007
80738he could have played with Carlos Santana Pogeu Mahone7/6/2007
80737good article thanksPogeu Mahone7/6/2007
80736Very true. It's like you're in or you're screwed. Greed can get realBonefish7/6/2007
80735>>>Fundamentals are imo of almost worthless value if at the margin everChanceIs7/6/2007
80734saves--I don't look at XHB because it includes non-hb's Bring up a charGary Burton7/6/2007
80733" .... declines of 37%, 28% and 39% .... consistent with the trends .... prsaveslivesbyday7/6/2007
80732Meritage Homes Reports Preliminary Operating Results and Estimated Impairments fSmiling Bob7/6/2007
80731"I'm simply anticipating the X halftime intermission" Couldn'saveslivesbyday7/6/2007
80730>>>the major effect of the change will be to dramatically decrease the ChanceIs7/6/2007
80729H&R Block Mortgage Unit Loses $1.5 Billion Loan Line (Update4) By Yalman Onsaveslivesbyday7/6/2007
80728LBO Debt Alarms Fidelity, Lehman, TIAA-CREF Managers (Update2) By Cecile GutschChanceIs7/6/2007
80727Am I correct in assuming that the major effect of the change will be to dramaticThink4Yourself7/6/2007
80726SEC TO END SHORT SALE TICK TEST ON JULY 6, 2007 >>>Short on man, shortChanceIs7/6/2007
80725jblazen--re TOL-- What is interesting to me in here is that--so far--TOL is resGary Burton7/6/2007
80724re: "Fundamentals are imo of almost worthless value if at the margin everyoThink4Yourself7/6/2007
80723JQ When I got out of business school way back too many years ago, my first job Gary Burton7/6/2007
80722This is the biggest issue of all from that nice piece.. 'What is worth poinJohn Vosilla7/6/2007
80721The tandem with Dickie B is unsurpassed. Only comparable was Clapton/Duane on LaBroken_Clock7/6/2007
80720I must be objective and report the facts. RYL raised pricing on one of the deveTH7/6/2007
80719TITE, I read all of his posts. Twenty cents might exceed my expectations forTH7/6/2007
80718CR, I think he may be correct, but my <DARK CLOUD> Detroit glasses do notTH7/6/2007
80717Ask Chancels about crowded shorts and the utes like CPN, MIR, etc. They coveredBroken_Clock7/6/2007
80716John, You have summed up my sentiment perfectly. Still, today, for the first tTH7/6/2007
80715Agree Gary probably trying to catch a falling knife. Homebuilders may bounce atThink4Yourself7/5/2007
80714Is Your Home Underinsured? Ray Martin On How Many People's Homes Are UnderinMick Mørmøny7/5/2007
80713based on elliottwave count, this Leg down from May23 is within a few days of endGary Burton7/5/2007
80712Wanna here a funny Brookfield? here goes anyway... -g- They have a high end pBroken_Clock7/5/2007
80711Well, yeah, that article you posted on Epic Credit might have had something to dTravis_Bickle7/5/2007
80710Dated - Bankrate:Cost-Per-Click Advertising Rates To Increase By 15% >>&gChanceIs7/5/2007
80709BHS reports: biz.yahoo.comTravis_Bickle7/5/2007
80708U and Jimmy RodgersBroken_Clock7/5/2007
80707I am still short RATE. Covering puts at $45. Fundamentals haven't changed.ChanceIs7/5/2007
80706Added FNM today, hadn't looked at it since I was last short months ago, had Travis_Bickle7/5/2007
80705Kasriel: The Tentacles of the Housing Recession Are Beginning to Strangle the CoCalculatedRisk7/5/2007
80704did you post about RATE awhile back ? i pooted it this afternoon, any current thre37/5/2007
80703So if you didn't buy by 2002 you have to wait another 10 years for an affordBonefish7/5/2007
80702Be prepared to wait a decade for housing to be affordable again news.independenLes H7/5/2007
80701“One good factor for highway contractors and dealers is that the rapid inflationBroken_Clock7/5/2007
80700Economic Recovery Expected in Late Autumn cegltd.comLes H7/5/2007
80699Dave this sums up my thoughts.. Tons of books on the subject of distressed RE aJohn Vosilla7/5/2007
80698Those Atlantic City palaces look dirt cheap to the European and Asia Pacific invJohn Vosilla7/5/2007
80697Foreclosures, Home Sales Cast a Pall on Public Spending Plans washingtonpost.comCalculatedRisk7/5/2007
80696OK, i agree with you. i overlooked the part about "<i>Investors</iWyätt Gwyön7/5/2007
80695LEN has done that a number of times. It's almost as if they are repurchasinThink4Yourself7/5/2007
80694Thats 20:1 odds of investors ever seeing anything returned from those funds. FrThink4Yourself7/5/2007
80693Now that makes sense. 5c/$ for a chunk of the fund almost seems generous.Live2Sail7/5/2007
80692he most sophisticated investors in hedge funds. ====== lmao!Broken_Clock7/5/2007
80691Bidding is for the investors' parts of the hedge funds (not the hedge funds&Al_Tannr7/5/2007
80690Added some SRS at 85.2 (2/3 position), nice opportunity on today's REIT-buyipatron_anejo_por_favor7/5/2007
80689"can't reconcile how the stuff is worth only 5cents/$. The default rateXoFruitCake7/5/2007
80688LEN - why is this up today? Just technical or does BX want to buy the part of thSmiling Bob7/5/2007
80687<i>seemingly unlimited access to cheap, borrowed money.</i> that inWyätt Gwyön7/5/2007
80686HLT is being bought with Monopoly money. I need to check my son's toybox andSmiling Bob7/5/2007
80685<i>can't reconcile how the stuff is worth only 5cents/$. The default rWyätt Gwyön7/5/2007
80684"Those are some expensive options" I agree the GS Put IV is relativelsaveslivesbyday7/5/2007
80683I just bought puts on BZH last week and they are already very profitable.Think4Yourself7/5/2007
80682Thanks, that's the way I understood it. Who would buy the whole fund with alLive2Sail7/5/2007
80681'Private equity firms have ability to bid a premium above market value, becaJohn Vosilla7/5/2007
80680Regulators Tighten Subprime Mortgage Rules bigbuilderonline.comLes H7/5/2007
80679Those are some expensive options. XLF, C, JPM, BAC much smaller premium over inJohn Vosilla7/5/2007
80678LBO action is disturbing "Private equity firms see value" = Private esaveslivesbyday7/5/2007
80677I left beaucoup money on the table with BZH and HOV, lol.Travis_Bickle7/5/2007
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