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Strategies & Market Trends
E-Mini Pit
An SI Board Since January 2002
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11288 150 0
Emcee:  the-phoenix Type:  Moderated
Introduction Compact
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9288How does one backtest predictions??? A conundrum.the-phoenix-12/10/2002
9287Chuck - Amen, Brother! More than a few folks here who are predictors rather thanhypostomus-12/10/2002
9286REMINDER: FRONT MONTH CONTRACT ROLLS OVER THURSDAY. New front month contract efthe-phoenix-12/10/2002
9285anon: Thanks! That kind of feedback is always nice to hear. We have some good trthe-phoenix-12/10/2002
9284O/T hi Phoenix, excellent thread you have here. I've been scrolling your thanon-12/10/2002
9283<i>I count all the trades that set up because they all have the same potenthe-phoenix-12/10/2002
9282eSignalCentral - all welcome ... Be sure and check out eSignalCentral and its nChuck T-12/10/2002
9281Sorry, let me clear up a misreading of your note. I count all the trades that sDoo-12/10/2002
9280I didn't say I don't count the trades I "wouldn't take." Doo-12/10/2002
9279Why count the trades that you wouldn't take in assessing the value of a setuthe-phoenix-12/10/2002
9278Personally, I feel more comforted in knowing what the win/loss ratio and risk/reDoo-12/10/2002
9277fair enough. It has worked for me every time I have tried it, but there may comethe-phoenix-12/10/2002
9276Fair value is cash + interest rates paid to enter the position - less accrued diLouis V. Lambrecht-12/10/2002
9275I refuse to consider any trade in front of an economic number or fed noise. TA Doo-12/10/2002
9274Why do you say that? I think without the announcement it is still an excellent sthe-phoenix-12/10/2002
9273So far a big whoop-de-doo over the Fed announcement. I guess this was expected (the-phoenix-12/10/2002
9272Without the announcement, you'd have been lucky to scalp a point. Looks likDoo-12/10/2002
9271So the NQs price higher for the March based on interest rate, since there are vithe-phoenix-12/10/2002
9270Actually my target price was hit and that took me out. The actual announcement the-phoenix-12/10/2002
9269No MoVo trades this morning. Not because they weren't there(I'm assuminRamus-12/10/2002
9268Fair value: divvies and interest rate. Haven't been through the math yet. DiLouis V. Lambrecht-12/10/2002
9267So, you coverd at 2:14 cuz the fed announcement was scheduled for 2:15?Doo-12/10/2002
9266Has anyone noticed that the March ES contract has been trading a point below thethe-phoenix-12/10/2002
9265The five minutes or so before a Fed announcement is usually a good scalp short. the-phoenix-12/10/2002
9264Went back long the NQ-ES 2-1 spread this morning I retain my bullish attitude ibernard rogers-12/10/2002
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