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Non-Tech
The Bear Cave
An SI Board Since July 1998
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Emcee:  JEB Type:  Unmoderated
Has anyone heard of the Dow Theory?

The theory is when the Dow Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Transport Average (DJTA) fall below their support level at the same time it signals a bear market. The same theory is applicable for their resistance level which would signal a bull market. This system has been wrong 5 times (from 1897 to 1990) out of 50 bull and bear signals (not a bad record). In June (1998) both indexes fell below their support level at the same time.

If you were an institution or a hedge fund manager and you wanted to cash out, How would you do it?

I know if I was in that position, I would take advantage of short squeezes and short term buying to push the stock higher. keep in mind, you own a lot of stock in that company and it will take some time to cash out completely. Another route to take is to play the 'Shell Game'. I would buy heavily into different sectors (Internet, Biotech,..etc.) to create a run in those sectors. It makes the whole market look appealing, adds more support to the stock your in, and generates good money in the feeding frenzy of that sector.

It's time for the Divorce!

Unlike October of 1987, this market has disinflationary pressure driving prices down. It's time to fall out of love with the stocks in your portfolio and review their fundamentals. What will happen to your stocks in a market downturn?

Whether your stock are up or down - Get Out Now! It's better to take a loss in stocks that are down now than it is to take a real hit in a market downturn. There are plenty of momentum plays and short plays to recover your current losses. There are intermediate plays also that will do well in a bear market.

It's time for all bears to come out of hibernation. We've been sleeping too long. We're emaciated. It's time to go hunting. We will look for easy game. We will prepare for the comming winter. It's time to add bulk. We will hunt selectively and follow the market flow.

This is the Time. Let's unite!

This thread is dedicated to sharing information on:

* Intermediate Longs - That can hold up well in a bear market.
* Intermediate Shorts - That are severely oversold and/or sickly.
* Shorts - That make excellent Bear Attacks. (quick kills)
* Momentums - That the big boys are offering. (quick kills)
* Potential Armageddon plays ( Is there a future 'Black Monday')

We fall out of love with stocks and back in love with cash!
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
87cbs.comJEB-3/10/2002
86 SPX has a Head and Shoulder pattern. We are on the right shoulder now. It shoJEB-9/2/1999
85 MYNG, is finally vindicated by the BD report on their gold claim. This is no BJEB-6/22/1999
84 The market looks heavy and the SPY and SPOOs have a Head and Shoulders pattern JEB-2/19/1999
83 Excuse me, C, not CCI (Name change). JEB-2/19/1999
82 The big boys will be pushing CCI soon. Wait until the market has proven it is JEB-2/18/1999
81 Donna, Thank you! When I referred to feeling the emotions, I mean that you shJEB-1/18/1999
80 JEB, I pay attention to your posts over on TM's thread because you are respDonna Carey-1/18/1999
79 As to which ones to short, I'm studying two for tomorrow. Depending on marJEB-12/3/1998
78 >G> Oh just which one's to short, when to get in, when to get out... Starduster-12/3/1998
77 Star, How can I help you? What do you need to know to learn how to short a stJEB-12/3/1998
76 Have you ever noticed that you can spend way too much time studying all the indJEB-12/3/1998
75 Charliss, Did finally have my coffee ;-} I'll be out all afternoon, so I cStarduster-12/3/1998
74 :-) Probably why I shall never be an effective trader... life is my journey anStarduster-12/3/1998
73 >> OK << Sandie, Really, your posts are always so concise and pitCharliss-12/3/1998
72 OK Starduster-12/3/1998
71 I'll make up my mind Friday. JEB-12/2/1998
70 How long are you holding? Starduster-12/2/1998
69 I like SER. I've heard Servico has their sights on a company which, if theJEB-12/2/1998
68 Only Day Trades..at the moment. and shorts of course >G< Starduster-12/2/1998
67 Are you looking at any longs? JEB-12/2/1998
66 Thanks, Seems to me and I've done puts in over a year, but I thought that iStarduster-12/2/1998
65 Star, Truth is I am not an options trader. I am sorry but I do not know that JEB-12/2/1998
64 I sure did, how would I have placed a trade to short it today. TO make 2,000, Starduster-12/2/1998
63 ;-)...BTW - Did you notice Sears today? JEB-12/2/1998
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