I have always been interested in predicting major market direction changes and how to benefit from them with option plays. The theme here is about predicting major changes...
- what indicators may serve us to anticipate a major market trend change, and;
- how can we tell the extent of the move coming and when it will occur?
This subject may be timely as many advisors are saying "... times are changed, crashes just can't happened any more."
What support can you give to ideas pro and con and what do you suggest an investor do to protect him or herself from the unexpected.
Thanks in advance for your interest and postings... and the best of trading to you,
Bill
geocities.com
(The following are very short term signals based on a personal WealthLab script. I will update the signals when I get a chance so do not think these are real time trading signals, please): February 22, 2005 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 8:30 PM - February 22) February 1, 2005 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 7:45 AM - February 2) January 3, 2005 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 3:15 PM - January 4) December 1, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 1:10 PM - December 5 as DOWN and corrected 12/10 at 11:10 AM to UP) November 23, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 8:10 AM - November 25) October 28, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 8:24 PM - October 29) October 11, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 8:05 PM - October 12) October 1, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 5:35 PM - October 6) September 16, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 8:35 PM - September 22) August 17, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 9:55 PM - August 17) August 6, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 7:55 AM - August 7) July 29, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 7:55 AM - July 30) NOTE: We have had 3 reversals in the last 3 days... as of July 1, 2004 close - the DOW direction is DOWN! Posted at 9:13 PM. June 22, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 8:58 AM - June 23) - careful of the whipsaws here! June 21, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 7:04 AM - June 22) May 25, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 9:34 PM) April 29, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted Monday, May 3, 2004 6:14 AM) April 23, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 4/24 7:52 PM) April 15, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 4/15 7:00 AM) March 29, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 3/30 6:40 AM) March 8, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 3/9 12:00 PM - noon) March 3, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 3/3 8:00 PM) February 23, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 2/24 6:40 AM) February 9, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 2/11 6:40 AM) January 28, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 1/28 8:00 PM) January 19, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 1/20 8:15 PM) January 13, 2004 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 1/15 10:30 AM) November 28, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 11/30) November 11, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted after close) October 30, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 10/31 7 AM) October 22, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 10/23 7 AM) October 3, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 10/4) September 25, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 9/26 at 6 AM) September 18, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 9/22) September 11, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 9/12 at 6 AM) September 2, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 9/4) August 26, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 8/26) August 11, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: UP (Posted 8/17) August 4, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN (Posted 8/6) July 23, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: UP July 21, 2003 Close - DOW Direction: DOWN |