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Never heard of the Free Float?
I have since joining SI almost five years ago been the only practioner, that I've ever run into, who relies exclusively on the metric of the free float as a primary discriminator in constructing trading and investing portfolios. The portfolio SIP1 has been made a private portfolio available to subscribers. SIP1 is but one of three SIP portfolios, the other portfolios are development portfolios whose issues will move onto the active portfolio as stock signals & current trajectories warrant. The goal of the portfolio is to multiply units owned over time. Each stock is selected for the probability of a stock split in the current trading cycle The avg holding period is over 1 year, but asset allocation methods are constantly applied to any open position.
All Stocks should if they've been selected correctly move toward a liquidity creation event. "All action happens against the float", for me, this captures the essential character of tradeing in a Supply demand market. If a stock on this list is assaulted by decisions of management that stock would be removed.
Devising strategies and tactics that capture the opportunity of making money is wholly linked to the current trend of the business cycle on a company by company basis.
Fundamentals combined with rapid asset allocation movements determine where assets in a current trend should be placed. Recognizing the current state of any given security against others in a portfolio is key. All Action happens in the passing of time where a companies current state will dictate it's impending state those states are Accumulation, Distribution, Obfuscation or Neutral. This Portfolio is designed to focus ones attention on the Trees, not the forest.
As a Student of Systems I try to find the Hand of man;
Von Mises teaches us that "All Economics is rooted in Human Action," he calls this the science of Praxeology. mises.org
He talks about the impossibility of econometrics, he surmises; rightfully that no statistics can measure the future impact of the hand of man; his needs wants and desires and ultimately his choices.
In our time; economists attempt to model everything; with the goal to frame a statistical foundation for whatever surmise their efforts endow.
Von Mises teaches us the Acting Man capitulates to no predictive models; and that the appearance that he does, is always temporary.
Knowing this has led me to the conclusion that those who see the markets as a system within systems, using Supply and demand as a base line, protects you not from the outright fabrication of price action over time, but provides the understanding that price may be an artifact of a system in action.
Where the Hand of man is revealed, within any system, reveals much to us, causative though it seems, it is all quite related to a given time lines influences.
An Attempt, if you will, to construct favorable effects to meet systems ends. |