SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Revision History For: The Art of Investing

23 Apr 2024 07:40 PM <--
03 Apr 2024 10:53 PM
11 Jan 2024 10:36 PM
29 Dec 2023 11:32 AM
28 Jan 2022 10:05 AM
08 Jan 2022 01:13 AM
05 Jan 2022 12:40 PM
02 Nov 2021 12:21 AM
20 Oct 2021 04:08 PM
04 Sep 2021 04:25 PM
03 Apr 2021 09:50 PM
20 Mar 2021 06:41 PM
16 Oct 2020 04:15 PM
17 Sep 2020 11:33 PM
11 Mar 2020 10:11 AM
30 Oct 2019 08:35 PM
31 Aug 1998 08:04 PM

Return to The Art of Investing
 
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


.