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Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
10695 191 1 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


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ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
10695Long story short... A lot of shots on goal. Cheers, 60 seekingalpha.comsixty2nds1yesterday
10694Good afternoon! What makes you be so positive about ROIV? I'd appreciate upSun Tzu-Saturday
10693Happy Saturday Morning! I'm still holding my ROIV position. It is a 1/4 Possixty2nds-Saturday
10692Here are my winners an losers for the day. The biggest loser is down (in total, Sun Tzu-last Friday
10691All I can say is thanks to weed stocks. Because of them, my portfolio is down 0.Sun Tzu4last Friday
10690More OT stuff - the pain never ends! Debug trace below (one of many). 2) ThSun Tzu-last Thursday
10689Completely OT - It's always important to eat your own dogfood. For those whoSun Tzu1last Thursday
10688UBER... I added some shares on the drop today. Holding 89% of a 2X Position. Wsixty2nds-last Wednesday
10687[X] Just after we published this yesterday! https://t.co/Hd86cQmPAzpic.twitter.DinoNavarre-last Tuesday
10686[youtube video]DinoNavarre-last Tuesday
10685I guess "a floor around 6 - 6.50 (likely 6.20)," wasn't a bad guesSun Tzu-last Tuesday
10684TORONTO, December 09, 2025--( BUSINESS WIRE)--Almonty Industries Inc. ("AlmSultan1last Tuesday
106836 to around 6.50 makes sense. No rush. I may add depending on the numbers as weSultan-last Monday
10682It should find a floor around 6 - 6.50 (likely 6.20) If it goes below 5, then yoSun Tzu-last Monday
10681You will get a cheaper entry. Check the news release after the close. ALM is doSultan1last Monday
10680I sold my ALM when it went below the red line. I should have bought it back whenSun Tzu-last Monday
10679Splendid performance! That's very infectious, too 0:) The number of stocks iArran Yuan-last Monday
10678No ALM ? Nice enough move there..Sultan-last Monday
10677What a good day! Where there's smoke, there's usually fire. You can safeSun Tzu2last Monday
10676Y'all might find this interesting... lifespan-edge.com Cheers, 60sixty2nds-last Monday
10675My big changes hit me at about 70 years of age. It wasn't one thing, it wTigerPaw-December 7
10674Chaing Kai-Chek's wife lived to be 105, dying in 2003. Rachel Robinson, Jackajtj991December 7
10673"Researchers from China studied 25 volunteers classed as obese over a perioSun Tzu2December 7
10672My great grandmother and my grandmother both lived to ~100 years. They were mobiSun Tzu2December 7
10671[graphic]Qone01December 7
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