SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
10832 191 1 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


.
Previous 25 | Next 25 | View Recent | Post Message
Go to reply# or date (mm/dd/yy):
ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
10832Finally.. QNX and NVIDIA Deepen Collaboration to Advance Safety-Critical Edge Sultan-49 minutes ago
10831This is way above my paygrade.. Any comments ? The Tungsten-AI Revolution Sultan-Saturday
10830I never go full in one position. However, still holding around 85% of my positiSultan-last Friday
10829Hello to all. Yesterday After The Bell Qurate declared Bankruptcy. The Common asixty2nds1last Friday
108282026-04-10 12:30:00 GMT DJ AbCellera Biologics Price Target Announced at $11.00/Sultan1last Friday
10827European governments have decided. Consumer-grade messaging apps are not built fSultan1last Friday
10826BB showing a bit of life.. QNX and TKMS Collaborate to Bring Canadian SoftSultan-last Wednesday
10825On a personal note, last night I was in the PTA meeting for my youngest who justSun Tzu10April 10
10824Ceasefire proposal ‘one of many ideas’ Trump will speak about the ceasefire propSun Tzu-April 6
10823I am developing two AI software packages: The first is a "patenting lawyer&Sun Tzu2April 5
10822I am not sure if the links work. Some content seems to have been removed. BSun Tzu2April 4
10821Investment analysis, not politics: Answer Partly. You are probably right on IsSun Tzu-March 28
10820BUTTERFLY EMBEDDEDâ„¢ butterflynetwork.comSultan1March 25
10819[graphic]Sultan2March 25
10818Butterfly is back on screen - this time on Netflix. While this diagnosis happenSultan2March 25
10817I certainly did not expect the USD ticktock clock to go off like this. Trump iSun Tzu-March 22
10816Some of the smartest kids I knew in the university were not academic and were geSun Tzu3March 20
10815I used to play middle school basketball with a kid who I later learned had receiajtj992March 20
10814When I was in my 4th year undergrad, we had to pick an area of specialization anSun Tzu3March 20
10813Remember how my answer to you was "because this is who they are"? PeoSun Tzu1March 19
10812Don't look now, but I think some time between July of this year to end of neSun Tzu-March 19
10811Here's a little chart reading crash course based on CSIQ. I've reduced tSun Tzu1March 19
10810HSY... After being up +/-30% in under 3 months... I was NOT going to watch a ssixty2nds-March 17
10809ROKU... I've been watching ROKU for a while... Took a shot Wednesday aftersixty2nds-March 13
10808Which companies are working on / developing plasmonic modulation technologies foDinoNavarre-March 13
Previous 25 | Next 25 | View Recent | Post Message
Go to reply# or date (mm/dd/yy):