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Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
10768 191 1 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


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ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
10768I am not so sure that it is passion rather than a disease that keeps me working.Sun Tzu1Sunday
10767Ya, I was thinking yesterday how I wish I had listened to you bought a lot more Sun Tzu-last Saturday
10766Here is my best performer .. Literally, saving my ass.. Portfolio wise that is..Sultan-last Saturday
10765I absolutely love this pivot by Equinox. Unlike many Gold miners EQX has a full sixty2nds3last Friday
10764 To: Sun Tzu who wrote (10722) 1/9/2026 12:54:49 PM From: Sun Tzu 1 RecommendatiSun Tzu1last Friday
10763Have a look at the charts of some of my old favorite biotechs...you may rememberSun Tzu-January 22
10762>> The US government seems to be doing all it can to accelerate moving awSun Tzu-January 21
10761I'm not going to "argue" further as we're really not disagreeiKirk ©-January 21
10760One last thing. Whoever was on CNBC does not make capitalist/market centric senSun Tzu1January 21
10759Japan is still a feudal system in the guise of corporatism. See my previous answSun Tzu-January 21
10758Re: Bonds are worth exactly what they are selling for. We completely agreeSun Tzu-January 21
10757BTW, one more thing on my bond rate list, a guest on CNBC helps me say it well. Kirk ©-January 21
10756Years ago I posted on your board the same thought. "No tax cuts until spenrdkflorida2-January 21
10755Bonds are worth exactly what they are selling for. The general public are idiotKirk ©-January 21
10754Yes, lower interest rates is what Trump wants. But he naively thinks that it is Sun Tzu-January 21
10753Isn't that what Trump wants, lower interest rates which means higher prices Kirk ©-January 21
10752It never fails to amaze me how disconnected the perspectives on the US are from Sun Tzu-January 20
10751Other than Gold, silver, land and crypto, what are their alternatives to US debtKirk ©2January 20
10750Ray Dalio warns that ‘capital wars’ could follow Trump’s actions, with countriesSun Tzu3January 20
10749Here are competitive student ranking in recent years Year Rank 1 Rank 2 Sun Tzu-January 19
10748I agree with you that number of publications is a poor proxy for academic excellSun Tzu2January 19
10747It is great to have some passionate work to do! However, 18 h a day is so so soArran Yuan-January 19
10746I am squeezing 3 unrelated posts here because I am literally working 18+ hours aSun Tzu1January 19
10745Biopharmaceutical companies are generally a kind that is very hard to seriously Arran Yuan-January 18
10744Some year end ticker changes: CYBN — Rebranded + ticker changed + exchange moveSun Tzu1January 12
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