SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Revision History For: Group Theories

12 Dec 2003 08:04 AM <--
10 Nov 2003 11:28 AM
09 Nov 2003 08:30 AM
08 Nov 2003 12:11 PM
04 Oct 2003 02:50 AM
10 Feb 2003 12:04 AM
09 Feb 2003 04:33 AM
02 Feb 2003 12:44 AM
27 Jan 2003 08:39 PM
25 Jan 2003 12:28 AM
02 Jan 2002 11:25 AM
01 Jan 2002 01:37 PM
01 Oct 2001 07:08 AM

Return to Group Theories
 
This is a forum/blog/diary that I hope to start looking at the market from a higher level down.
Through Industry/Sector Groups and Indices and various Market Indices.
DDT - Distorted Dow Theory.
The idea being that one sticks with the strong and picks on the weak.

The emphasis is purely TA.
I do not want any fundamental analysis voodoo clouding things up here.
All aspects TA are welcome, and appreciated.

Good luck

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST Oscillators:

TRIN:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$TRIN,uu[w,a]dallyyay[db][pc2!c8][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lah8,21,13]&pref=G
NYMO:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NYMO,uu[w,a]dallyyay[db][pc2!c8][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lah8,21,13]&pref=G
NYHL:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NYHL,uu[w,a]dallyyay[db][pc2!c8][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lah8,21,13]&pref=G
TICK:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$TICK,uu[w,a]dallyyay[db][pc2!c8][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lah8,21,13]&pref=G

TRINQ:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$TRINQ,uu[w,a]dallyyay[db][pc2!c8][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lah8,21,13]&pref=G
NAMO:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NAMO,uu[w,a]dallyyay[db][pc2!c8][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lah8,21,13]&pref=G
NAHL:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NAHL,uu[w,a]dallyyay[db][pc2!c8][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lah8,21,13]&pref=G
TICKQ:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$TICKQ,uu[w,a]dallyyay[db][pc2!c8][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lah8,21,13]&pref=G

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sentimentals:

$VIX: stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyyay[de][pd20,2][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lp55,13,13]&pref=G
$VXN: stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyyay[de][pd20,2][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lp55,13,13]&pref=G
$CPC: stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyyay[de][pd20,2][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lp55,13,13]&pref=G
$BPSPX: stockcharts.com[w,a]dacayyay[de][pa70!a30][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lp55,13,13]&pref=G
$BPOEX: stockcharts.com[w,a]dacayyay[de][pa70!a30][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lp55,13,13]&pref=G
$BPNDX: stockcharts.com[w,a]dacayyay[de][pa70!a30][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lp55,13,13]&pref=G
$BPCOMPQ: stockcharts.com[w,a]dacayyay[de][pa70!a30][vc60][iLp13,3,3!Lp55,13,13]&pref=G

$AU/HUI Ratio

WEEKLY:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$GOLD:$HUI,uu[w,a]waclyyay[pa3][vc60][iUe8,21,13!Lp55,13,13]&pref=G
DAILY:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$GOLD:$HUI,uu[w,a]daclyyay[pa3!a2.25][vc60][iUe8,21,13!Lp55,13,13]&pref=G

CEF/$AU Ratio.

DAILY:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=CEF:$GOLD,uu[w,a]dallyyay[de][pa0.013][vc60][iLp21,5,5]&pref=G

$AU/CCY ratios

USD:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$GOLD,uu[w,a]wallyyay[p][vc60]&pref=G
EUR:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$GOLD:$XEU,uu[w,a]wallyyay[p][vc60]&pref=G
JPY:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$GOLD:$XJY,uu[w,a]wallyyay[p][vc60]&pref=G
CHF:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$GOLD:$XSF,uu[w,a]wallyyay[p][vc60]&pref=G

$CRB/CCY ratios

USD:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$CRB,uu[w,a]wallyyay[p][vc60]&pref=G
EUR:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$CRB:$XEU,uu[w,a]wallyyay[p][vc60]&pref=G
JPY:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$CRB:$XJY,uu[w,a]wallyyay[p][vc60]&pref=G
CHF:http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$CRB:$XSF,uu[w,a]wallyyay[p][vc60]&pref=G

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

My timeframes and terminology:

Timeframes

LTBH - Long Term Buy and Hold
LT - Long Term
IT - Intermediate Term
ST1 - Short Term (or ST)
ST2 - Intraday
ST3 - Intraday Entry

LTBH - corresponds to the swings in (5-13 period) quarterly stoch.
LT - corresponds to the swings in (5-13 period) monthly stoch.
IT - corresponds to the swings in (5-13 period) weekly stoch.
ST1 - corresponds to the swings in (5-13 period) daily stoch.
ST2 - corresponds to the swings that last 1 -3 days.
ST3 - corresponds to the 1 - 3 swings that we see intraday

Terminology:

My indicators are 'effectively' oscillators so they tend to signal a change before the actual trend has changed.
I therefore look at the higher order timeframe to give me clues as to whether to follow them.
Looking for supporting divergences, momentum, or trends.

MOMENTUM - Defining direction by use of momentum indicators. Noisy and does give false signals.
PIVOTS - Defining direction by the arrangement of recent pivot bars to each other. Noisy and does give false signals.
PIVOTHIGH - The high of the most recent reference pivot bar.
PIVOTLOW - The low of the most recent reference pivot bar.
FLAG - Warning of indicators reaching either o/sold or o/bt against trend/direction in the (next) higher timeframe.
"*" = Possible Reversal approaching!
"**" = Probable Reversal approaching!
TRENDOSCILLATOR - Long (21-55 period) stochastic/momentum indicators.
TRENDSTRENGTH - An indicator (lags price) that I use to quantify a Trend.
TREND+ - The Trend in the higher timeframe.

-macavity