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Strategies & Market Trends : CME Demutualization-- What's the play?

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To: LPS5 who wrote (2)2/1/2000 6:49:00 PM
From: Tony  Read Replies (1) of 4
 
Hmm...

The thing is, the CME is already loosing position to the
other exchanges that have gone electronic already (now it's
the 4th largest instead of the second or third). And without the demutalization, competition has already started (the merc is now doing E-Mini JY and EC contracts which are identical to the MidAm contracts, the E-mini's have not really picked up there so far as I can see. Further, there's a company down in TX which has an electronic contract for live cattle (index settled though) that is supposedly extremely near CFTC approval.

It's interesting that you switch from liquidity to volatility, in your analysis-- the Eurodollars are among the most liquid cars in the world, but I wouldn't consider them the most volatile.

My personal look at this is that unless there's something I'm missing, the Merc could do anything it wants to so far as new products or changing methods-- and the CFTC seems to be turning a blind eye to competition between exchanges. Where I'm stuck is that this move seems to be intended to preserve seat prices... but I'm not willing to buy a mature company with 2% growth and an EPS of .30 at more than $6-7/share. Trading privledges are a whole other ball of wax <g>.

-T
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