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Strategies & Market Trends : Systems, Strategies and Resources for Trading Futures

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To: Zilog who wrote (40443)2/6/2000 4:18:00 AM
From: Michael Watkins   of 44573
 
Zilog - my read is down as well. In addition to the daily candles I offer the following:

- intraday bars on 4 and 5 Jan have at this time set up a 1-2-3 reversal, with price closing up to the underside of the break. If we see price on the spoos heading south and breaking Fridays low, I'm hoping that it doesn't tank right away so I can position a short on a retracement. Suspect it will be a fast trip to the prior swing low... and from there no one knows. But my bias is down.

- VIX gapped down on Friday open and reversed almost immediately. If VIX continues up on Monday I think we can view it as a confirmation of a VIX reversal, and I note that VIX gap down/reversals are very effective confirmations of swing highs (Thurs/Fri).

- The leaders - SOX and misc tech - many of the component stocks have reversed back into their 1-2-3 zones/congestion after brief trips into new highs. If they are unable to recover, the likelyhood increases dramatically that we are seeing an important intermediate, if not longer term, top in these stocks. Without generals the NDX/COMPX, NQ/ND have no where to go but down.

With NYSE/SP and many non-tech sector indicies already weak; losing market leadership, as thin as its been, is not a positive development for the market.

I'm not about to place a big bet until the market shows its direction. But I think my bearish bias may well come in handy next week...

PS As this is my first post in this medium, please forgive the red highlites, they are not mine.

Hey, an easier question/problem to answer/solve. The red highlights you see in the "preview" mode are words the built in spell checker considers misspelled.
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