5/3/00 New Straits Times 27 2000 WL 5204451 The New Straits Times Copyright 2000
Wednesday, May 3, 2000
Communications
Cost, the 'killer app' for IP telephony Lee Ting Ting (STF) - At this point, the convergence of telephony and data in the form of voice over Internet protocol is still very much driven by monetary- related factors.
THERE are usually several reasons that drive the uptake of any new, revolutionary technology.
The same goes for growing adoption of IP telephony, which basically encompasses the leverage of VoIP networks and Internet telephony.
Projected to bring about market opportunities that total a staggering US$89 billion (RM338.2 billion) by year 2004 (according to a Gartner Group/Dataquest 2000 research report), IP telephony is touted to emerge as the largest stream of business revenue within the telecommunications industry.
This prediction, together with many spectacular IP telephony forecasts, is promp- ting a market obsession with the question - What is the 'killer application' behind an IP telephony uptake?
No doubt that the convergence of telephony and data networks have contributed to the emergence of new, revolutionary IP applications such as unified messaging systems (UMS), call centres and common directory services. Thus, the general, initial speculation of the existence of a single "killer" application.
Yet, instead of an application, the boost for IP telephony is currently more monetary-centric than anything else.
The outcome of discussions between top IP vendors and analysts at the IP Telephony and Converged Services Press event in Los Angeles recently indicated the greatest mover and shaker of IP-based networks is cost- related.
MONEY FACTOR
An example of this "money" factor that drives the IP telephony trend, is the profits that the converged techno- logy (between telephony and data networks) is bringing to carrier services providers within the enterprise sector.
"For the first time, there is such a thing as a profitable business model for a competitive local exchange carrier (CLEC).
"The joining of telephony and data networks allows the brand new CLECs to sell voice and data services to churn earnings - something the CLEC market has never seen before," says Andrew Bale, chief executive officer and founder of Flexion Systems. Bale adds that in addition to churning real, profitable opportunities for new- generation communication providers, a convergence of voice and data allows small businesses to experience substantial competitiveness.
"Small businesses will be able to buy a professional communications infrastructure for less than US$30,000. Convergence provides the opportunity for this sector of businesses to more easily acquire some sort of high-quality communications infrastructure," says Bale.
Although these are good reasons for new-generation communication providers to roll out new, value-added services for their customers, and for small businesses to leverage on integrated voice-data network; the value drive for the enterprise sector makes up a totally different proposition altogether.
'SOFT' COST VALUES The consensus of the high-level IP telephony round-table discussion is that the emphasis on cost savings as the "killer" driver in enterprises is decreasing.
"We saw less enthusiasm since last year for cost savings - from integrated VoIP solutions than we had seen previously," says Ian Keene, vice president and chief analyst at GartnerGroup.
Apparently, surveys of medium and large enterprises show that there is a decreasing expectation that integrated voice and data will drive down costs and expenses.
"They (the enterprises) have gotten through the disillusion and hype of the moment.
"The expectation of massive cost savings from IP voice and data network convergence, by IT network managers and enterprises, are disappearing," adds Keene.
Instead of quantifiable figures, the value drive of IP telephony to enterprises is increasingly seen in terms of "soft" value.
Apparently, IP telephony is driven by the fact that it brings about a new way of business flexibility and efficiencies.
"New business ways are really the drivers for IP telephony," says Marthin DeBeer, senior director for marketing in Cisco's enterprise voice business unit. He elaborates that businesses empowered with increased flexibility - brought about by new converged applications, would be able to respond more quickly to their market needs, in order to bring new services and capabilities to their customers and employees.
"Soft cost savings are often in terms of better service to customers, higher efficiencies, better and enhanced productivity for employees," says DeBeer.
"This is key to drive (telephony and data) convergence in the long term," he adds.
DeBeer stresses that the eventual adoption of IP telephony will not depend on a single killer application.
Single Application Markets Will Disappear Dataquest predicts
* Vendors will differentiate by adding functionality to physical layer systems, developing applications that operate across hardware and software environments.
* Video-conferencing, audio-conferencing, voice and unified messaging, and interactive voice response will become software-only businesses or will be acquired by traditional telecom or data vendors.
* Classical voice applications such as messaging and voice response will continue to evolve into software-based businesses, causing further disruption, mergers, and acquisitions.
* Vendors not in a coalition must join one.
---- INDEX REFERENCES ----
COMPANY (TICKER): Gartner Group Inc. (Class A); Gartner Group Inc. (Class B) (IT ITB)
NAMED PERSON: DEBEER, MARTHIN
NEWS SUBJECT: World Equity Index (WEI)
MARKET SECTOR: Technology (TEC)
INDUSTRY: Consulting Services; General Industrial & Commercial Services; All Industrial & Commercial Services; Internet: Telephony; Computer Peripherals; Computers (CLT ICS SVC INIT PRF CPR)
PRODUCT: Computer Hardware (DCO)
REGION: Malaysia; Pacific Rim; Far East (MY PRM FE)
EDITION: 2*
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