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Technology Stocks : Dell's Daytraders Decision Site
DELL 125.88-1.6%Dec 31 3:59 PM EST

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To: jbn3 who wrote (502)7/30/1997 7:29:00 AM
From: secamend9   of 1124
 
You said "Don't think your 30 day estimate is good. Here's why: DELL reports on about the 19th I think, so there may be a run-up prior to announcment. If the report is bad, your $60 estimate is high. If the report is quite good, DELL will go up from there. So I think you have about a 10 day window for the stock to drop. After earnings new ball game."

GOOD ANALYSIS. I think the chance for the ten day window for the stock to decline is very small. Catastrophic corporate event, act of God, general market or sector crash could cause a decline. However, with momentum of stock so positive for so long and no real fundamental change, it likely won't happen. My guess on Aug 10 is mid to high 80s and just before earnings release 91. Knowing Mike's proclivity for setting goals which will be exceeded, let's suggest earnings of $ 1.24 and a price reaching 100 by Sept 1. Now, I've done what I don't often do - predict an empirical number. So let's see how accurate I guessed the trajectory of the dart as it left my hand on the way to the wall. This is kind of like fantasy baseball. This was all in fun. DO NOT invest based upon these numbers. They are purely hypothetical.
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