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Strategies & Market Trends : Dow Dogs, Foolish Four and other market-beating strategies

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To: Paul Shread who started this subject3/25/2002 12:22:10 AM
From: llackey   of 82
 
Current list of all S&P MidCap 400 stocks under either 10 Yr downside or 5 Yr downside targets based on the method outlined in "Trouncing The Dow". Sorted by Price/10 Yr downside target. Column headings are explained at Message 17075366

Price 10Yr 10Yr Price/ 5Yr 5Yr Price/ 04-06 04-06 EPS Buffett
Ticker Update 3/22 Down Up 10YDwn Down Up 5Y Dwn Down Up Growth value Ind. Name

BRL 1/25 68.55 105.00 247.08 -35% 84.41 205.57 -19% 133.44 314.00 70% 91.38 DRUG Barr Laboratories
TDS 1/4 84.1 125.39 206.16 -33% N/A N/A N/A 203.83 335.12 13% 57.76 TELESERV Telephone & Data Systems
IVX 1/25 16.34 23.56 53.11 -31% 23.57 61.85 -31% 37.89 85.41 15% 21.55 DRUG IVAX Corp.
TSN 2/8 12.96 17.94 27.76 -28% 20.62 33.42 -37% 35.83 55.44 164% 19.83 FOODPROC Tyson Foods
SRP 2/15 15.65 21.63 28.60 -28% 27.42 39.17 -43% 25.96 34.32 525% -25.86 UTILWEST Sierra Pacific Resources (New)
PZZA 3/15 27.46 36.62 67.73 -25% 30.35 55.34 -10% 46.42 85.85 8% 35.34 RESTRNT Papa John's Int'l.
PHSY 12/28 17.26 22.78 52.29 -24% 22.19 58.45 -22% 31.92 73.27 100% 66.38 MEDSERV PacifiCare Health Sys
WEC 1/4 25.05 31.93 40.70 -22% 34.42 46.85 -27% 37.01 47.17 22% 0.00 UTILCENT Wisconsin Energy
CREE 1/18 13.79 17.48 67.11 -21% 13.61 53.26 1% 61.11 234.64 -28% 3.45 SEMICOND Cree Inc.
SY 3/1 17.23 21.67 47.54 -20% N/A N/A N/A 35.14 77.10 203% 25.00 SOFTWARE Sybase Inc.
ETS 1/18 4.31 5.41 13.70 -20% 10.63 44.35 -59% 7.98 20.19 -22% 8.62 COMPUTER Enterasys Networks
ILA 1/4 25.65 31.71 44.36 -19% 27.69 43.10 -7% 43.14 60.35 23% 68.10 UTILCENT Aquila, Inc.
BKS 2/15 31.26 38.00 74.56 -18% 30.07 64.66 4% 66.09 129.67 88% N/A RETAILSP Barnes & Noble
YRK 2/1 34.63 42.10 63.47 -18% 34.03 58.92 2% 68.36 103.05 22% 61.21 MACHINE York International
OHP 12/28 41.88 48.09 113.65 -13% N/A N/A N/A 56.77 134.18 6% 58.62 MEDSERV Oxford Health Plans
LNT 1/4 29.93 34.33 42.80 -13% 34.80 45.09 -14% 37.45 46.68 21% 0.86 UTILCENT Alliant Energy
PSD 2/15 20.2 23.14 30.57 -13% 24.31 33.89 -17% 27.26 36.01 73% 26.72 UTILWEST Puget Energy, Inc. (Hldg. Co.)
POM 3/8 22.72 24.52 32.01 -7% 24.06 32.02 -6% 29.98 39.13 11% 31.03 UTILEAST Potomac Electric Power
GSB 1/25 29.65 31.62 63.04 -6% 29.10 60.29 2% 40.40 80.53 21% N/A THRIFT Golden State Bancorp
GXP 1/4 24.83 26.38 32.56 -6% 27.63 33.97 -10% 30.82 38.04 19% 53.45 UTILCENT Great Plains Energy Inc.
PAS 2/8 14.46 15.25 21.94 -5% 19.59 31.14 -26% 19.02 27.38 64% 25.86 BEVERAGE PepsiAmericas, Inc.
VLO 3/22 48.1 49.92 82.36 -4% 36.49 64.31 32% 75.28 124.20 -42% 15.52 OILINTEG Valero Energy
OCR 1/4 25.51 25.80 51.32 -1% 22.94 46.76 11% 40.21 79.96 35% 27.59 DRUGSTOR Omnicare, Inc.
ATG 3/22 23.32 23.10 30.69 1% 23.64 32.06 -1% 29.15 38.73 7% 22.41 GASDISTR AGL Resources Ltd.
ROL 3/15 21.1 18.17 25.91 16% 35.25 52.12 -40% 28.51 40.65 34% 18.10 INDUSRV Rollins, Inc.
DQE 3/8 21.53 17.21 24.36 25% 22.24 33.64 -3% 25.83 36.56 150% 57.76 UTILEAST DQE, Inc.
CDN 3/1 22.43 16.04 38.25 40% 25.49 60.96 -12% 22.74 54.22 33% 25.00 SOFTWARE Cadence Design Systems
AFCI 1/4 18.36 N/A N/A N/A 19.92 19.92 -8% N/A N/A 150% 2.59 TELEQUIP Advanced Fibre Communications
ISCA 2/22 44.01 N/A N/A N/A 45.02 80.30 -2% N/A N/A 24% 35.34 RECREATE International Speedway


Typically when S&P has a down week Drug stocks are a good flight to safety option, but not this week. Both BRL and IVX got hammered this week.

Benchmark Investing values for the Dow can be found at benchmarkinvesting.com.

- Lee
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