DoubleClick Locks Up Abacus
June 14, 1999 DoubleClick's purchase of marketing database provider Abacus Direct locks up a unique asset and signals the beginning of eCommerce's conquest of the direct mail channel.
by Jim Nail
DoubleClick has widened its lead in the on-line advertising race by gobbling up catalog database owner Abacus for $1 billion. We like the deal because:
Transaction data is the crown jewel. More than 1,100 catalogers have contributed 2 billion purchases to Abacus' Alliance cooperative databases, which allow catalog members use of the database in exchange for providing input. No other marketing database matches this storehouse of information. Of all data forms, actual purchase behavior stands at the pinnacle of marketers' data hierarchy.
Data analysis skills separate winners from losers. Abacus' sophisticated data analysis and predictive models honed via direct mail, combined with DoubleClick's on-line experience, are a potent combination. While other on-line ad companies can target ads based on IP address, Web surfing behavior, or demographics, few will match the off-line/on-line data expertise of the new alliance.
The deal will cause other important repercussions:
Acxiom and NetGravity get together. Experian partnered with AdForce long ago, and Intelliquest and 24/7 Media joined up last fall. NetGravity's Global Profiling System captures on-line user information but lacks an off-line component. Acxiom's scale and the diversity of its data fill this gap.
Catalogers find a smoother path to the Net. Direct marketers apply data analysis techniques to selecting and segmenting mailing lists. With this merger they can apply the same techniques and skip the learning curve of clickstream and IP address targeting options. Greater ease of use combined with attractive price points will wake catalogers up to the Web.
A new light shines on privacy issues. Consumers accept that catalogs swap their names, but few know that the details of their purchases are shared as well. As off-line/on-line combinations form, advocates like the Electronic Privacy Information Center will insist on open consent guidelines on and off the Web.
Wall Street grows comfortable with hybrid mergers. While DoubleClick's decline of 10% early today may seem drastic, it pales in comparison to Lycos' 30% drop after its USA Networks announcement. As investors gradually see the long-term value of DoubleClick-Abacus, they will accept more off-line/on-line deals. |