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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board

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To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (9571)	12/15/1999 9:20:00 PM
From: fuzzymath	Read Replies (1) of 18928

Yes, staying in cash from Feb-Oct would have worked great over the past 30 years! That's maybe the most incredible observation. I worked with only end of month index values -- so I can't really say if the ideal is to buy in late Sep or early Oct, and I can't really say if holding all the way to the end of January is necessary. That's a future enhancement to the study, I guess. The presumed annual event that doesn't show up at all in the graph is the supposed "summer rally". That was much talked of 10 years ago -- but not so much anymore. Who needs a summer rally when stocks are rising 30% a year, anyway? But, I think the 30% index gains may end. The NASDAQ can't stay disconnected from the broad market and bonds forever (at least, I don't think it can!). Kevin

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