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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board
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To: RFH who wrote (11343)6/1/2000 4:23:00 PM
From: OldAIMGuy  Read Replies (3) of 18928
 
Hi RFH, With this latest buy, what will your first NTRX
Sell price be?

I did a bit of AIM 2000 Meeting Analysis for Keith on his
SNDK. Here's the results:
-------------------------------------------------
BETA = 1.60 (good for AIM)
Stock's Price Stability = 5 (out of possible 100; good for AIM)
Insider Buys (last 9 months) = 0 (okay)
Insider options " = 13 (good)
Insider Sells " = 21 (okay relative to Insider Options)
Capital Structure = 100% capitalized with common stock - NO DEBT (good for survival)
Est'd annual rates of change (next 3-5 years):
Revenues = +42%
Book Value = +22.5%
Earnings = +43.5%
Historical Growth rates:
Revenues = Double every two years (about 36%/annum)
Book Value = Double every two years "
Officers and Directors stock ownership = 7.5% of common (good)
R&D Expense = not stated, but will increase by $6-$8 MM
over the next year - an increase of 5% of sales.
Stock Price Range (split adjusted)
1995 - 6-7/8 to 15-1/2 (good for AIM)
1996 - 4-3/8 to 10-7/8 "
1997 - 4-3/8 to 20 "
1998 - 2-5/8 to 13-1/8 "
1999 - 6-1/4 to 50-1/4 "
2000 - 37-1/2 to 169-5/8 "
Price as of April 21st = $88
Current price = $66 up $8 for the day!
2003 to 2005 Stock Price Projections = $235 High; $140 Low (good for AIM)
---------------------------------------------------

Interesting company - even if it's priced a bit richly
compared to book value, trailing P/E and other measures.

Best regards, Tom
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