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Technology Stocks : Semiconductor and Semi-Equipment Analysts - Their Calls

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To: Katherine Derbyshire who wrote (92)8/10/2000 11:59:24 PM
From: FJB  Read Replies (3) of 195
 
>>Not all the chip companies have embarked on 300mm, and those that have are on different time schedules, and can halt
300mm build out should over capacity raise its head. <<

Leaving them with a multi-billion dollar hole in the ground and no way to recoup the investment? I doubt it. They're more likely to try to build out faster in order to beat the other guys


I realize you were joking around a bit, but there really is nothing preventing companies from stopping at the fab shell phase, which is only 10% of the cost of a $2B 300mm fab.

DRAM sales reached a record high in bit terms in 1996.

They reach a "record high" every year. Tracking the gap between cost per bit vs. price per bit would be more fruitful, but I have never seen any data for this.

Bob
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