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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna
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To: Death Sphincter who wrote (48190)8/15/2000 8:47:48 AM
From: Arik T.G.  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Wiping the dust off my LT count on the SPX:
Message 8318842

The Super Cycle began in 1932.
Cycle 1 to 1937
Cycle 2 to 1942
Cycle 3 to 1968
Cycle 4 to 1974
Cycle 5 count :
Primary 1 to 1980
Primary 2 to 1982
Primary 3 to 1990
Primary 4 to 1991
Primary 5 - 10/90 to present.

.... Intermediate 1- 10/90 to 1/94
.... Intermediate 2- 1/94 to 12/94 (A/D line bottom)
.... Intermediate 3- 12/94 to 7/99
........... Minor 1- 12/94 to 2/96
........... Minor 2- 2/96 to 7/96
........... Minor 3- 7/96 to 7/98
.................Minute 1 - 7/24/96 to 2/18/97
.................Minute 2 - 2/19/97 to 4/11/97
.................Minute 3 - 4/14/97 to 7/10/97
Cumulative A/D line top was reached on Minute 3 of Minor 3 of Intermediate 3.
.................Minute 4 - 10/7/97 to 10/27/97
.................Minute 5 - 10/28/97 to 7/17/98 (extended)
....................Minuette 1 - 10/28/97 to 12/5/97
....................Minuette 2 - 12/5/97 to 1/12/98
....................Minuette 3 - 1/12/98 to 4/6/98 (NYSE A/D top)
....................Minuette 4 - 4/7/98 to 6/15/98
....................Minuette 5 - 6/16/98 to 7/17/98
........... Minor 4- 7/20/98 to 10/8/98
................ Minute A - 7/20 to 9/1
................ Minute B - 9/1 to 9/23
................ Minute C - 9/23 to 10/8
............Minor 5- 10/98 to 7/99
.................Minute 1 (extended) to the week of 1/12/99
.................Minute 2 to the week of 2/16/99
.................Minute 3 to the week of 5/4/99
.................Minute 4 to the week of 6/1/99
.................Minute 5 to the week of 7/20/99
.... Intermediate 4 from 7/20/99 to 10/19/99
.... Intermediate 5 from 10/99 to the present

The only possible regular impulse read from 10/99 is the one that counts only nested 1s and 2s of 3 of 3 of 3. The decline to 7/29 throws a wrench into this count, too.
So, I'm left with your ending diagonal scenario but cannot find a footing to count from.

The significant tops of 1/3/00 and 3/24/00 could be read as a and c of minor 1, or 1 and a of 3, or 1 and 3. How can one tell? (yes, I know... In hindsite!)

Correct me if I'm wrong, as I think you count the march top as end of 3 of the ending diagonal. And then again, do you end the 4 on 4/14 or 5/24?

7/17/00 ended an abc from 5/24 but also a larger abc from 4/14.
What does that mean?

ATG
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