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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (8425)10/17/2000 10:56:32 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (3) of 65232
 
From: Casaubon on the MDD - Market Direction Discussion thread....

EXTR

In my opinion, EXTR broke out of a sound base dating back to april 1999. The breakout occurred on 7/10/00. The pivot is $53 1/4. The handle occurred 7/7, 7/10, and 7/11.
The breakout fell back into the base on 8/3 to a low of $58.875. Using the 8% stop loss rule (loss limit reached at $49), if one had purchased this stock just as it exited through the pivot point, one would have been able to hold the stock through the decline. Since the pivot on 7/10 the stock is up 122%. I currently have the bullish support line around $88. The stock tagged the upper bollinger band at $128 with a lower RSI than the last trip to $128 indicating negative divergance. The implication is short term weakness (with the slow stochastic approaching the overbought level). My guess would be a stall with a trip back to bullish support. Once near the bullish support line, look for bottom volume confirmation. Exit if support doesn't hold.

Good Luck!

Message 14603532

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