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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 210.78-4.8%Dec 12 9:30 AM EST

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To: Michael Ohlendorf who wrote (20830)11/28/2000 12:24:28 PM
From: PetzRead Replies (2) of 275872
 
Michael, And worse Q1 will most likely be flat. So, no 10% Q to Q growth as promised. Also, the higher tax rate and higher depreciation costs will kill Q to Q growth. But with flat growth it will even reduce Q to Q EPS ! Opinions ?

Q1 revenue will likely be DOWN from Q4. This is normal. Q1 earnings before and after taxes will certainly be down. See my detailed analysis at Message 14770455 BTW, AMD never promised 10% sequential revenue growth past Q4.

You will note that with the tax hurdle and Q1/Q2 slowdown, Q4'2000 EPS will probably not be exceeded until Q4'2001. The tax rate going from an effective rate of 16% in Y2000 to 31% in Y2001 makes a BIG difference -- more than 15% if you do the math.

Petz
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