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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board

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To: OldAIMGuy who started this subject	12/21/2000 10:44:03 AM
From: murl	Read Replies (1) of 18928

Hi all, Can someone tell me why the ratio between UOPIX and the index doesn't stay a constant? I know it is supposed to be 2 beta, but that doesn't seem to work out exactly unless I am missing something For instance: yesterday INDEX 2321/UOPIX 23.56. I went back on a chart to when the INDEX was about the same --5/25/99 the INDEX 2380/UOPIX 31.93-- which shows the ration to be very different. I am trying to figure a trading range and guestimate what UOPIX would be if the INDEX went up a certain %. I am planning on putting cash in at some point in the near future and trying to recoup some of my loss as it may be a long time before UOPIX reaches my first sell point which is about $71. Some of the "gurus" are saying that the run up on the NASDQ was a "bubble" and maybe 1500 to 3000 might be a realistic trading range. Is it possible that neither AIM or any investing program can work when all the purchases are made on the down side of the "bubble"? I know long term is the pat answer, but I had the misfortune of celebrating my 69th birthday last month. Any insight to the INDEX/UOPIX ratio and something other than waiting would would be appreciated. murl@old&impatient.com

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