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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
CSCO 71.08+0.1%Nov 7 9:30 AM EST

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To: Mark The Trader who wrote (50116)3/16/2001 10:20:25 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) of 77397
 
Hi Mark, Being a day trader who does both long and short, you are obviously not in denial but realistically trying to scalp a head here and there. While being busy doing the hunt, consider that CSCO may go to $2.5 (I think $6 is obviously a more likely number only because it is higher) IF ...

Leverage and unemployment driven redemption happens to the equity funds, forcing them to sell anything remotely liquid at bid-less prices. This possibility is more possible with each passing floor. Only a matter of psychology.

<<Are you also assuming that we are on the verge of the next great depression??>>

Why is this not a possibility with a higher probability than, say 4 weeks ago? Have the central bankers gotten that smarter? Do they even have the tools available to do their job?

<<Is technology just going to stop are we going to regress?>>

Clearly not, but this has little to do with valuation. Tech shares had sold for book value before, and can easily do so again. Why can the mirror image of an upside mania occur when it unwinds? Just because we have not seen it before live and up close?

Message 15499309

Chugs, Jay
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