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Strategies & Market Trends : Stocks Crossing The 13 Week Moving Average <$10.01

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To: jim llewellyn who wrote (9446)8/21/2001 12:48:53 PM
From: James Strauss  Read Replies (1) of 13094
 
Good post Jim...

All preceding recessions have had high unemployment rates... This stealth recession has had relatively low unemployment rates with an accommodating FED... While I think Unemployment may tick a little higher before it's all over, I also see the rate cuts kicking in over the next few months... That in combination with the 37 billion tax rebate injection should stabilize the markets... I'm not expecting a return to 20% to 30% market returns soon, but I don't expect the dire forecasts of perennial Bears to unfold either... We'll probably see a more normal 8% to 10% annual equities return over the next few years as P/E's and earnings growth move more into sync...

Jim
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