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Non-Tech : Farming

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To: Jon Koplik who wrote (121)8/26/2001 5:16:19 PM
From: Jon Koplik  Read Replies (1) of 4449
 
Farmers' Almanac Projects (COLD) Winter

August 26, 2001

Farmers' Almanac Projects Winter

By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

Filed at 12:48 p.m. ET

LEWISTON, Maine (AP) -- Those who remember jammed airports, slippery
sidewalks, potholes and mounds of snow last winter won't like what the latest
Farmers' Almanac has to say about the coming winter.

With no El Nino or La Nina to botch up the forecast, the almanac's secret
formula projects another ``old-fashioned'' winter, with heaps of snow beginning
in late November.

``According to our time-tested formula, winter will begin early,'' chief weather
prognosticator Caleb Weatherbee writes in the almanac that goes on sale
Tuesday. ``We also expect another very active winter weather pattern, especially
in the Northeast.''

The almanac says its long-term predictions -- based on a secret formula involving
sunspots, positions of the planets and tidal action -- are correct about 80 percent
of the time.

The almanac, used to plan outdoor weddings, cookouts and vacations, predicted
moderate weather for last winter. But the Northeast got pummeled by storm after
storm.

The almanac offices in Lewiston had to shut down for a day -- something that
had happened only once before.

In the new edition, the 185-year-old publication said last winter was snowier than
it predicted because it was the first in several years in which there was no El
Nino or La Nina -- the warming and cooling of the Pacific Ocean -- to meddle
with high level prevailing winds.

This winter will be much the same, said editor Peter Geiger. Climatologists call it
``La Nada.''


Geiger predicts an active winter followed by a wet summer in the Northeast,
Pacific Northwest and Southeast. The middle of the country will be drier than
usual, the almanac says.

There's a strong possibility of a white Christmas with snow between Dec. 24 and
Dec. 27 in the Northeast and upper Midwest, Geiger said.

The National Weather Service contends the weather cannot be predicted with any
certainty so far in advance.

``I wouldn't bet the farm on it,'' said meteorologist Augie Sardinha.

Copyright 2001 The Associated Press
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