Bubble of 2000 - How will you call the bottom? Message Board

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Pastimes : Bubble of 2000 - How will you call the bottom?

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To: rolatzi who wrote (6)	9/19/2001 3:00:07 PM
From: rolatzi	of 8

The VIX is presently in the upper 40's. I won't touch this market until it hits 60. Five year lows in the DJI have been pretty good in being near bottoms and safe for investing. For example, the gain 9 months after 5 year lows was: June 1921 +112% May 1931 +39% April 1942 +89% In 1931, despite the five year low, the economy was still in a deflationary spiral and interest rates rose during that year. So if interest rates continue to ratchet down and we don't go into a deflationary spiral, which I assume the Federal Reserve will do all it can to avoid the following are my target 5 year lows for the popular averages. Rolatzi

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