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Strategies & Market Trends : Dow Dogs, Foolish Four and other market-beating strategies

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To: Paul Shread who started this subject3/4/2002 12:17:34 AM
From: llackey  Read Replies (2) of 82
 
Current list of all S&P MidCap 400 stocks under either 10 Yr downside or 5 Yr downside targets based on the method outlined in "Trouncing The Dow". Sorted by Price/10 Yr downside target. Column headings are explained at Message 17075366

Price 10Yr 10Yr Price/ 5Yr 5Yr Price/ 04-06 04-06 EPS Buffett
Ticker Update 3/1 Down Up 10YDwn Down Up 5Y Dwn Down Up Growth Value Industry Name

BRL 1/25 68.73 105.00 247.08 -35% 84.41 205.57 -19% 133.44 314.00 70% 96.54 DRUG Barr Laboratories
PHSY 12/28 15.32 22.78 52.29 -33% 22.19 58.45 -31% 31.92 73.27 100% 70.13 MEDSERV PacifiCare Health Sys
ETS 1/18 3.75 5.41 13.70 -31% 10.63 44.35 -65% 7.98 20.19 -22% 9.11 COMPUTER Enterasys Networks
TDS 1/4 87.1 125.39 206.16 -31% N/A N/A N/A 203.83 335.12 13% 61.02 TELESERV Telephone & Data Systems
TSN 2/8 12.63 17.94 27.76 -30% 20.62 33.42 -39% 35.83 55.44 164% 20.95 FOODPROC Tyson Foods
UCU 1/4 22.5 31.71 44.36 -29% 27.69 43.10 -19% 43.14 60.35 23% 71.95 UTILCENT UtiliCorp United
PZZA 12/14 26.05 36.02 66.62 -28% 29.27 53.37 -11% 49.56 91.66 4% 40.98 RESTRNT Papa John's Int'l.
IVX 1/25 17.25 23.56 53.11 -27% 23.57 61.85 -27% 37.89 85.41 15% 22.77 DRUG IVAX Corp.
SRP 2/15 16.38 21.63 28.60 -24% 27.42 39.17 -40% 25.96 34.32 525% -27.32 UTILWEST Sierra Pacific Resources (New)
WEC 1/4 24.43 31.93 40.70 -24% 34.42 46.85 -29% 37.01 47.17 22% 0.00 UTILCENT Wisconsin Energy
OHP 12/28 37.9 48.09 113.65 -21% N/A N/A N/A 56.77 134.18 6% 61.93 MEDSERV Oxford Health Plans
BKS 2/15 30.76 38.00 74.56 -19% 30.07 64.66 2% 66.09 129.67 88% N/A RETAILSP Barnes & Noble
SY 3/1 17.61 21.67 47.54 -19% N/A N/A N/A 35.14 77.10 203% 26.41 SOFTWARE Sybase Inc.
YRK 2/1 34.85 42.10 63.47 -17% 34.03 58.92 2% 68.36 103.05 22% 64.66 MACHINE York International
OSG 12/14 21.71 25.70 43.87 -16% 19.34 35.84 12% 63.86 108.99 -50% 21.86 MARITIME Overseas Shipholding Group
CPRT 12/14 17.54 20.70 48.11 -15% 18.93 45.99 -7% 35.65 82.87 23% -0.91 INDUSRV Copart, Inc.
OCR 1/4 22 25.80 51.32 -15% 22.94 46.76 -4% 40.21 79.96 35% 29.14 DRUGSTOR Omnicare, Inc.
LNT 1/4 29.55 34.33 42.80 -14% 34.80 45.09 -15% 37.45 46.68 21% 0.91 UTILCENT Alliant Energy
BTH 1/11 21.54 24.75 43.54 -13% 22.25 37.51 -3% 33.06 58.15 2% 40.07 HOUSEPRD Blyth Inc.
PAS 2/8 13.49 15.25 21.94 -12% 19.59 31.14 -31% 19.02 27.38 64% 27.32 BEVERAGE PepsiAmericas, Inc.
CREE 1/18 15.8 17.48 67.11 -10% 13.61 53.26 16% 61.11 234.64 -28% 3.64 SEMICOND Cree Inc.
SSSS 2/1 16.27 17.63 33.67 -8% 17.86 39.46 -9% 52.42 100.07 -12% 15.48 MACHINE Stewart & Stevenson Services
EQT 12/21 32.94 35.39 53.73 -7% 32.09 53.20 3% 48.11 73.03 13% 20.95 GASDIVRS Equitable Resources
PSD 2/15 21.77 23.14 30.57 -6% 24.31 33.89 -10% 27.26 36.01 73% 28.23 UTILWEST Puget Energy, Inc. (Hldg. Co.)
DST 3/1 42.45 44.64 87.47 -5% 40.55 83.74 5% 66.42 130.16 15% 25.50 SOFTWARE DST Systems Inc.
PRGO 1/25 11.2 11.62 22.94 -4% 11.30 22.02 -1% 19.46 38.42 -5% 10.93 DRUG Perrigo Co.
GSB 1/25 30.63 31.62 63.04 -3% 29.10 60.29 5% 40.40 80.53 21% N/A THRIFT Golden State Bancorp
GXP 1/4 25.65 26.38 32.56 -3% 27.63 33.97 -7% 30.82 38.04 19% 56.47 UTILCENT Great Plains Energy Inc.
VLO 12/21 43.38 44.15 72.85 -2% 32.48 57.26 34% 62.11 102.47 -51% 6.38 OILINTEG Valero Energy
ATG 12/21 22.87 22.92 30.45 0% 23.45 31.81 -2% 29.30 38.93 -13% 21.86 GASDISTR AGL Resources Ltd.
ROL 12/14 20.15 15.48 22.07 30% 31.56 46.67 -36% 23.10 32.93 25% 20.04 INDUSRV Rollins, Inc.
CDN 3/1 21.97 16.04 38.25 37% 25.49 60.96 -14% 22.74 54.22 33% 26.41 SOFTWARE Cadence Design Systems
PWR 12/14 15.1 N/A N/A N/A 15.81 47.42 -4% N/A N/A 18% 31.88 INDUSRV Quanta Services
AFCI 1/4 17.06 N/A N/A N/A 19.92 19.92 -14% N/A N/A 150% 2.73 TELEQUIP Advanced Fibre Communications
MVSN 2/8 24.65 N/A N/A N/A 26.11 97.07 -6% N/A N/A 73% 15.48 ENT TECH Macrovision Corp.
ISCA 2/22 44.13 N/A N/A N/A 45.02 80.30 -2% N/A N/A 24% 37.34 RECREATE International Speedway

Latest addition is Sybase, which has had a couple of rough years, but now seems to be turning things around. ORCL's announcement on Friday may drive SY down further.

Benchmark Investing values for the Dow can be found at benchmarkinvesting.com.

- Lee
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