Hi Nadine Carroll; Re: "The Jerusalem Post thought the government would survive too, do they get a LOL too?"
No, but you do, LOL. Read on:
National unity government collapses. Labor quits over budget dispute; Sharon building narrow coalition
Jerusalem Post.com, October 30, 2002
Prime Minister Ariel Sharon is likely to ask President Moshe Katsav to dissolve the Knesset and initiate early elections within 90 days in advance of Monday's no- confidence vote in the Knesset, his closest ally in the cabinet, Communications Minister Reuven Rivlin, said Tuesday night.
Labor Party ministers and deputy ministers intend to submit their letters of resignation to Sharon before the
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pqasb.pqarchiver.com
Debka is supposed to do a bit more than merely parrot the "conventional wisdom".
And was the survival of Sharon really the conventional wisdom? Here's CNN, (LOL!!!) from the same date as the bad Debka prediction:
Kessel: Elections likely in spring
CNN.com/world, October 31, 2002
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CNN's Jerrold Kessel describes the effect of the crisis on Israeli politics:
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Sharon is likely to survive a vote of no confidence next Monday, but whether he will be able to cobble together a coalition before then is not clear. The feeling is that he will be able to get a narrow minority government, but that it will not last with elections probably being held next spring instead of the mandated date of next autumn.
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asia.cnn.com
You've already admitted that Debka is flawed as far as information about stuff outside of Israel, but this is basic information about political stuff inside Israel that Debka should be very aware of. For example:
Nadine Carroll, October 21, 2002
jcky, I have never considered debka "untainted and unbiased" and have several times explained just how I read them (reporting on Israel -- pretty reliable, reporting elsewhere -- not so reliable, speculation and interpretation -- hit or miss; filter everything for likud slant).
... #reply-18140232
The problem with filtering everything with a Likud slant is that filtering removes information. The problem with Debka is that their heart is in Likud, so their reporting is slanted accordingly.
By the way, it is very difficult for humans to analyze things that matter to them. To see the unbiased truth, you really have to not care about how it will effect the things you love. Otherwise your fears will make you exaggerate the negatives and your hopes will make you exaggerate the positives. Instead, one should look at things from the point of view of a space alien, or a game player.
What I've shown here is that Debka's view on Sharon's government surviving without elections was (a) wrong (presumably biased by their personal hopes and fears), and (b) against the common viewpoint even in Israel. Debka's views on stuff outside of Israel is similarly biased.
You've already admitted that Debka is "filtered" with a Likud slant, and it's clear that this filtering results in the destruction of information. Debka's slant is due to their being connected with Likud. Just as inevitably, Debka is connected with Israel, which makes their reporting on Israel similarly defective.
-- Carl
P.S. Never bother to ask a parent how smart their child is, assuming that you really do need to know. |
