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Strategies & Market Trends : Stocks Crossing The 13 Week Moving Average <$10.01

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To: Silver_Bullet who wrote (12672)8/24/2003 1:20:27 PM
From: James Strauss   of 13094
 
While most people view the last 2 weeks of August as vacation weeks, over the last 16 yrs important turns have taken place then:

August 25,1987 - the exact top prior to the crash..
August 23,1988 - low has never been returned to..
August 24,1995 - low has never been returned to..
August 19,1998 - top preceding 18% plunge in 2 weeks..
August 31,1998 - important market bottom..
August 31,2000 - 2 days before all time high..
August 24,2001 - end of rally ,market drops 22% in under a month..
August 22,2002 - exact rally top, market drops 21% in under a month.
(Courtesy of Peter Eliades of Stock Market Cycles.)

Four out of the last five years have seen a major turn in August. As I glance over my shoulder at the screen, I notice that we are near the highs for this run. Just food for thought.


Thanks FT...

The old Mama's and the Papa's song, "Monday Monday" geocities.com should give us a clue which way the wind is blowing... I'm keeping an eye on short term SPX 991 support...

Jim
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