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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: energyplay who wrote (64845)6/11/2005 4:48:17 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
Re: But is Russia going to use their weapons for the Arabs ? China ? France ?

If the US unilaterally attacks Iran, that means that the US leadership doesn't give a damn about China's --and, to a lesser extent, India's-- vital energy interests. You overlook the fact that China just signed a $100 zillion deal with Iran for the supply of oil and gas, India did likewise for an amount of $40 billion.... Of course, an attack on Iran followed by a "regime change" doesn't mean that the US will seek to set up an Iranian regime hostile to China/India that will renege on the energy deals... or does it? After all, that's what happened in Iraq as regards French/EU interests.

Anyway, my point is that any forceful, reckless attempt by the US-UK-Israel axis to rock the Iranian boat will trigger a similar attempt by China to take over Taiwan. And that's where the North Korean wildcard enters the game. That's why the US administration is currently scrambling to neutralize the North Korean threat BEFORE its eventual next move in the Middle East.

Re: And with the large Arab population which you like so much, it would be easier to sneak a number of weapons in Europe....

That would be a bit ironic, wouldn't it ?


It would, indeed. However, it isn't. Remember the Madrid bombings on March 11, 2004? My theory all along has been that Syria ordered the terrorist strike on Spain. Yet the manpower that perpetrated it was all-Spaniard --Basque, to be precise. As I said at the time, 311 (as the Madrid bombings are dubbed) was a hackwork by the ETA terrorist outfit(*). The Basque organization is known to maintain "business contacts" in Lebanon.... Former Spain PM José Maria Aznar is still unrepentant in his opinion that ETA did it, hence his absence from the event's anniversary ceremony on March 11, 2005. Aznar was giving a speech in a Mexican university on that day. And so is his friend Silvio Berlusconi who, on the first Monday following 311, publicly endorsed then-PM Aznar's ETA theory. Berlusconi's endorsement was not a gratuitous utterance nor was it a shameless coverup. With Italian troops --and lives-- at stake in Iraq, Berlusconi was in earnest.

Re: US attacks Arab states, and they hit back at the targets they can reach - which is Old (your 'New') , soon to be glow in the dark Europe...

Well, that is not to surprise me... We all know that life is unfair --whether towards individuals or countries or peoples as a whole. Again, take the Madrid bombings: what was its prime motive? Well, whoever the perpetrator, Spain was allegedly hit because of her participation to the US crusade in Iraq. But was/is Spain ALONE in joining the US in Iraq? What about the UK? Italy? Poland? Denmark? Bulgaria? You name it. And what about the US itself? If those terrorist attacks were really about disrupting the occupation of Iraq, it would have made more sense for the terrorists to blow up five trains in Washington instead of Madrid, would it not?

Yes, of course, it would --it's just that Madrid/Spain was an easier target... Spain was the weakest link. And just like the powerful American bully keeps attacking weaker countries (Vietnam, Panama, Afghanistan, Iraq,...), the other side aims at small game also.

Then again, as I pointed out, you shouldn't feel completely insulated from the world's (terrorist) vagaries... As I noted, the ultimate target is the resilience of the US fabric itself. What's been going on since the invasion of Iraq is a "feedback coupling" between the US and Israel --a "positive feedback loop", that is. As you know, positive feedback usually leads to the frying of the circuitboard...(**) The US has kept bragging about "regime change" --LOL. Okay, let's check it out: Afghanistan? The country didn't have any "regime" to speak of prior to 2001, anyway... Today, it's still run by the same self-appointed warlords that vied with each other for the past 20 years --so much for regime change. Iraq? Well, granted, the Iraqi regime did change --for the worse. Actually, the only country so far that has dramatically, if surreptitiously, changed its regime is the US itself! The US has indeed morphed into a Disneyesque police-state where the line between "dissenting opinions" and "plain terrorism" has been blurred --courtesy of Patriot Acts, Zionist Acts, etc.

Gus

(*) Message 19908501
(**) Message 19946580
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