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Non-Tech : Farming
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To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (560)3/16/2008 7:50:46 PM
From: bart13  Read Replies (1) of 4448
 
The actual facts show your original conclusion ("people who believe that the increase in grain prices are permanent and unavoidable are simply mistaken.") to be incorrect. You made no statement about inflation.

As far as the other point, there is virtually nothing general (like "commodities" or "stocks") that significantly beats long term inflation on a consistent decade by decade or multiple decade basis. Bull markets and bubbles and manias do exist, and not participating in them makes ones returns a lot lower than they could be.

You're incorrect about oil - the actual facts show that it has resoundingly beat inflation on the very long term, and even if it corrected tomorrow by 20-30%:

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